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Understanding the Catholic Vote in 2004

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Abstract:

Catholic voters comprise 27% of the electorate. They have been a key voting group since the early 1970s. In every presidential election since then, the candidate that wins the Catholic vote has won the popular vote. The 2004 election is of particular interest to look at the Catholic vote because the Catholic clergy became much more involved in politics than ever before to energize social conservatives. While Kerry lost the Catholic vote to Bush by five percentage points (47% to 52%), the message the Bishops were preaching about morality did not inspire all Catholic voters. In the exit poll data, moral issues ranked third, behind terrorism and jobs as the reason Catholics chose one candidate over the other.

This paper will examine the Catholic vote in the 2004 Presidential election. We will look at subgroups of Catholic voters women, men, conservatives, liberals, moderates, church attenders and many other groups to provide a profile of the Catholic voter. The paper will also explore why Catholics voted the way they did and the potential impact the Bishops may have had in this election. The paper will use the 2004 exit poll data as well as a survey among Catholic voters that BRS conducted in July 2004 among 2,223 likely Catholic voters. This survey asked not only intentions of voting but the importance of issues to voters and the influence of the Bishops on voting decisions and contained an oversample of Hispanic Catholics.

Author's Keywords:

2004 election, Catholic voters, morals, Hispanic Catholic voters
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Association:
Name: American Association For Public Opinion Association
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http://www.aapor.org


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MLA Citation:

Stewart, Kate., Russonello, John . and Sternfeld, Rachel. "Understanding the Catholic Vote in 2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association For Public Opinion Association, Fontainebleau Resort, Miami Beach, FL, <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p16800_index.html>

APA Citation:

Stewart, K. , Russonello, J. and Sternfeld, R. "Understanding the Catholic Vote in 2004" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Association For Public Opinion Association, Fontainebleau Resort, Miami Beach, FL <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p16800_index.html

Publication Type: Paper/Poster Proposal
Abstract: Catholic voters comprise 27% of the electorate. They have been a key voting group since the early 1970s. In every presidential election since then, the candidate that wins the Catholic vote has won the popular vote. The 2004 election is of particular interest to look at the Catholic vote because the Catholic clergy became much more involved in politics than ever before to energize social conservatives. While Kerry lost the Catholic vote to Bush by five percentage points (47% to 52%), the message the Bishops were preaching about morality did not inspire all Catholic voters. In the exit poll data, moral issues ranked third, behind terrorism and jobs as the reason Catholics chose one candidate over the other.

This paper will examine the Catholic vote in the 2004 Presidential election. We will look at subgroups of Catholic voters women, men, conservatives, liberals, moderates, church attenders and many other groups to provide a profile of the Catholic voter. The paper will also explore why Catholics voted the way they did and the potential impact the Bishops may have had in this election. The paper will use the 2004 exit poll data as well as a survey among Catholic voters that BRS conducted in July 2004 among 2,223 likely Catholic voters. This survey asked not only intentions of voting but the importance of issues to voters and the influence of the Bishops on voting decisions and contained an oversample of Hispanic Catholics.

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