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Yet Another Model of Voting Under Uncertainty |
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Abstract:
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Current models of elections assume that voters perfectly know their ideal points in the electoral
dimensions. This assumption, however, violates the empirical evidence. In this paper I outline a
model that avoids this assumption but includes the actual uncertainty of voters about their own ideal
points. Unlike existing models the one proposed here is able to simultaneously account for voters'
preference for candidates' precision or ambiguity, their candidate choice, and their observed
patterns of voting or abstaining. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
voter (60), model (53), candid (43), elector (41), dimens (35), posit (27), function (26), abstent (25), uncertainti (22), util (21), choic (19), polit (19), di (17), alien (17), vote (16), 3 (15), point (15), 1 (14), ideal (14), due (14), equat (13), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association
URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Serra, Joan. "Yet Another Model of Voting Under Uncertainty" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40044_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Serra, J. , 2005-09-01 "Yet Another Model of Voting Under Uncertainty" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40044_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Current models of elections assume that voters perfectly know their ideal points in the electoral
dimensions. This assumption, however, violates the empirical evidence. In this paper I outline a
model that avoids this assumption but includes the actual uncertainty of voters about their own ideal
points. Unlike existing models the one proposed here is able to simultaneously account for voters'
preference for candidates' precision or ambiguity, their candidate choice, and their observed
patterns of voting or abstaining. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
11 |
| Word count: |
3787 |
| Text sample: |
| Yet Another Model of Vote Choice Under Uncertainty∗ Joan Serra University of Chicago Department of Political Science Abstract Current models of elections assume that voters perfectly know their ideal points in the electoral dimensions. This assumption however violates the empirical evidence. In this paper I outline a model that avoids this assumption but includes the actual uncertainty of voters about their own ideal points. Unlike existing models the one proposed here is able to simultaneously account for voters’ preference |
| Ambiguity. American Political Science Review 70: 742-52. [17] Rabinowitz George and Stuart E. Macdonald. 1989. A Directional Theory of Issue Vot- ing. American Political Science Review 83 1: 93-121. [18] Sanders Mitchell S. 2000. Uncertainty and Turnout. Political Analysis 9 1: 45-57. [19] Shepsle Kenneth A. 1972. The Strategy of Ambiguity: Uncertainty and Electoral Com- petition. American Political Science Review 66: 555-68. [20] Smithies A. 1941. Optimum Location in Spatial Competition. The Journal of Political Economy 49 3: 423-39. |
Similar Titles:
Uncertain Ideal Points and the Impact of Electoral Dimensions on the Vote Choice
A Deterrence Model of Candidate Positioning and Electoral Competition: An Alternative to the Spatial Voting Model
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