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Participation bias and framing effects in citizens’ juries |
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Abstract:
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Estimating the impact of deliberation on attitude change in real political settings is complicated by a problem that those who participate in deliberation may be more predisposed to particular attitudes, and/or to shifts in attitudes, than those who do not. We investigate this problem in the first large-scale citizens’ jury to take place Ireland. The jury was a random sample from the 2002 Irish Election Study (IES), itself a random sample of Irish electors. Before jury selection the issue for deliberation, the incineration of domestic waste, was included in a summer 2003 IES panel study, along with questions on environmental attitudes. Jurors were surveyed on key attitudes, immediately before and after a deliberation. The core questions for deliberation were also part of the 2004 IES panel study, conducted nine months after the jury deliberations and including all jurors. Large opinion shifts against waste incineration were observed during deliberation, and some of these shifts remained observable nine months later. However, a troubling feature of the experiment was the extent to which key “stakeholders” who expected to be on the “losing” side of the deliberation were able to influence and probably de-legitimize the eventual outcome by withholding their cooperation in the entire process. |
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juri (195), deliber (125), wast (115), particip (107), citizen (94), inciner (91), juror (74), effect (68), bias (67), 1 (59), issu (59), 2 (56), pair (55), dublin (51), 3 (50), panel (49), delib (46), sampl (44), frame (43), select (43), polit (41), |
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Citizens' juries, deliberative democracy, participation bias, framing effects, waste incineration |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| French, Damien. and Laver, Michael. "Participation bias and framing effects in citizens’ juries" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40078_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| French, D. and Laver, M. J. , 2005-09-01 "Participation bias and framing effects in citizens’ juries" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40078_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: Estimating the impact of deliberation on attitude change in real political settings is complicated by a problem that those who participate in deliberation may be more predisposed to particular attitudes, and/or to shifts in attitudes, than those who do not. We investigate this problem in the first large-scale citizens’ jury to take place Ireland. The jury was a random sample from the 2002 Irish Election Study (IES), itself a random sample of Irish electors. Before jury selection the issue for deliberation, the incineration of domestic waste, was included in a summer 2003 IES panel study, along with questions on environmental attitudes. Jurors were surveyed on key attitudes, immediately before and after a deliberation. The core questions for deliberation were also part of the 2004 IES panel study, conducted nine months after the jury deliberations and including all jurors. Large opinion shifts against waste incineration were observed during deliberation, and some of these shifts remained observable nine months later. However, a troubling feature of the experiment was the extent to which key “stakeholders” who expected to be on the “losing” side of the deliberation were able to influence and probably de-legitimize the eventual outcome by withholding their cooperation in the entire process. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
27 |
| Word count: |
13922 |
| Text sample: |
| Participation bias and framing effects in citizens’ juries Damien French Trinity College Dublin frenchdm@tcd.ie Michael Laver New York University ml127@nyu.edu ABSTRACT Estimating the impact of deliberation on attitude change in real political settings is complicated by a problem of external validity. It seems plausible a priori that those who choose to participate in deliberation are more predisposed to particular attitudes and/or to shifts in attitudes than those who do not. We built the possibility to investigate this problem into |
| are essential to waste management in Ireland (evening) v (IES2004 jury) -.85 -2.820 .007 Pair 2 waste incinerators essential to waste management in Ireland (IES2004 jury) v (IES2004 panel) -1.71 -5.182 .000 Pair 3 waste incinerator should be built in Ringsend (evening) v (IES2004 jury) -.56 -2.408 .043 Pair 4 waste incinerator should be built in Ringsend (morning) v (evening) -1.72 -5.065 .000 |
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