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Unifying Theory and Testing of Economic Sanctions Outcomes |
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Abstract:
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When should we expect economic sanctions to succeed? Previous
studies predict that sanctions will be more effective when the issue
at stake is important, the sender and target are allied, the
target's domestic institutions are more democratized, and the
target's economy is more dependent on the sender. I subject these
hypotheses to empirical testing using a fully structural estimation
that employs a game theoretic model as a statistical model. The
theoretical model formalizes a simple crisis bargaining logic with
two-sided incomplete information. Findings suggest that the issue
salience is positively associated with sanctions' imposition, but
not necessarily with sanctions' effectiveness. Moreover, the allied
targets tend to comply even when they can win the sanction contest,
while the non-allied targets tend to resist when the sender credibly
signals that she would continue the sanctions unless the target
complies. Finally, I examine these estimated results with four case
studies: US vs. South Korea (1973-1977), US vs. Nicaragua
(1977-1979), Britain-US vs. Iran (1951-1953), and US vs. Ethiopia
(1977-1992). |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
sanction (255), target (252), sender (221), payo (137), alli (114), us (113), complianc (93), back (93), would (92), deadlock (91), outcom (89), case (84), 0 (79), level (72), weak (69), resist (68), strong (68), probabl (64), result (61), issu (59), back-down (54), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Whang, Taehee. "Unifying Theory and Testing of Economic Sanctions Outcomes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40587_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Whang, T. , 2005-09-01 "Unifying Theory and Testing of Economic Sanctions Outcomes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40587_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: When should we expect economic sanctions to succeed? Previous
studies predict that sanctions will be more effective when the issue
at stake is important, the sender and target are allied, the
target's domestic institutions are more democratized, and the
target's economy is more dependent on the sender. I subject these
hypotheses to empirical testing using a fully structural estimation
that employs a game theoretic model as a statistical model. The
theoretical model formalizes a simple crisis bargaining logic with
two-sided incomplete information. Findings suggest that the issue
salience is positively associated with sanctions' imposition, but
not necessarily with sanctions' effectiveness. Moreover, the allied
targets tend to comply even when they can win the sanction contest,
while the non-allied targets tend to resist when the sender credibly
signals that she would continue the sanctions unless the target
complies. Finally, I examine these estimated results with four case
studies: US vs. South Korea (1973-1977), US vs. Nicaragua
(1977-1979), Britain-US vs. Iran (1951-1953), and US vs. Ethiopia
(1977-1992). |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
51 |
| Word count: |
17636 |
| Text sample: |
| Unifying Theory and Testing of Economic Sanctions Outcomes Taehee Whang Department of Political Science University of Rochester Rochester NY 14627 twng@troi.cc.rochester.edu Prepared for the 2005 APSA Annual Meeting. Abstract When should we expect economic sanctions to succeed? Previous studies pre- dict that sanctions will be more e¤ective when the issue at stake is important the sender and target are allied the target’ domestic institutions are more democra- s tized and the target’ economy is more dependent on the sender. |
| Branislav L. 2004. “How Initiators End Their Wars: The Duration of Warfare and the Terms of Peace” Amreican Journal of Political Science 48 (4) [51] Smith Alastair. 1996. “The Success and Use of Economic Sanctions”International Interactions 21 229-245 [52] Tsebelis George. 1990. “Are Sanctions E¤ective? A Game-Theoretic Approach” Journal of Con‡ict Resolution 34 (1) 48 [53] Walker Thomas W. and Armony Ariel C. ed. 2000. Repression Resistance De- mocratic Transition in Central America Scholarly Resources Inc. [54] Wand Jonathan. |
Similar Titles:
Taking Comparative Advantage Seriously: Sender-Target Trade Relationship and Success of Economic Sanctions
Assessing Sanctions Outcomes: Asymmetric Perceptions, Issue Salience, and Economic Sanctions
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