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War By Other Means: The Fate of Civilians in Armed Conflict |
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Abstract:
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This paper seeks to understand why states kill enemy noncombatants in wars with other states. I argue that noncombatants are most likely to be targeted—and high numbers of civilian casualties likely to result—when wars become costly, protracted wars of attrition, on the one hand, or when states bent on conquering enemy territory view the population as presenting a threat to their secure control of that land. Wars of attrition, characterized by static, trench warfare, sieges, or guerrilla resistance by one side tend to devour manpower and take a long time to prosecute to completion. The temptation to strike at an adversary’s civilian population in these circumstances in order to lower its morale or reduce the adversary’s ability to fight often becomes irresistible in order to economize on manpower/equipment losses. Stalemated wars of attrition also trigger escalation to civilian victimization out of a sense of desperation that every possible means must be employed that might lead to victory or avoid defeat. Finally, governments engaged in state-building efforts—involving conquest, annexation, and possible colonization of territory—may victimize groups they believe pose a threat of future insurrection. Statistical analyses of interstate wars since 1815 supports these arguments, and also shows that liberal democracies are not less likely to target civilians or kill fewer of them, whereas clashes of civilizations do not conduce to civilian victimization. Democracies, in fact, may be more likely to target noncombatants in costly wars of attrition. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
civilian (255), war (255), 1 (144), state (113), 0 (107), kill (107), victim (103), target (84), 000 (66), variabl (65), noncombat (62), democraci (59), enemi (56), number (52), use (51), cost (48), like (46), liber (46), belliger (45), attrit (43), signific (43), |
Author's Keywords:
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civilians, civilian victimization, mass killing, democracy, liberal norms, clash of civilizations |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Downes, Alexander. "War By Other Means: The Fate of Civilians in Armed Conflict" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40725_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Downes, A. B. , 2005-09-01 "War By Other Means: The Fate of Civilians in Armed Conflict" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40725_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: This paper seeks to understand why states kill enemy noncombatants in wars with other states. I argue that noncombatants are most likely to be targeted—and high numbers of civilian casualties likely to result—when wars become costly, protracted wars of attrition, on the one hand, or when states bent on conquering enemy territory view the population as presenting a threat to their secure control of that land. Wars of attrition, characterized by static, trench warfare, sieges, or guerrilla resistance by one side tend to devour manpower and take a long time to prosecute to completion. The temptation to strike at an adversary’s civilian population in these circumstances in order to lower its morale or reduce the adversary’s ability to fight often becomes irresistible in order to economize on manpower/equipment losses. Stalemated wars of attrition also trigger escalation to civilian victimization out of a sense of desperation that every possible means must be employed that might lead to victory or avoid defeat. Finally, governments engaged in state-building efforts—involving conquest, annexation, and possible colonization of territory—may victimize groups they believe pose a threat of future insurrection. Statistical analyses of interstate wars since 1815 supports these arguments, and also shows that liberal democracies are not less likely to target civilians or kill fewer of them, whereas clashes of civilizations do not conduce to civilian victimization. Democracies, in fact, may be more likely to target noncombatants in costly wars of attrition. |
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| Document Type: |
PDF |
| Page count: |
47 |
| Word count: |
15688 |
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| “WAR BY OTHER MEANS”: THE FATE OF CIVILIANS IN ARMED CONFLICT Alexander B. Downes Assistant Professor Department of Political Science Duke University 301A Perkins Library Durham NC 27708 (919) 688-2225 downes@duke.edu * Prepared for delivery at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association September 1-September 4 2005. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. * If—as Carl von Clausewitz famously argued—war is “a continuation of political intercourse carried on with other means ” then the killing of |
| Haven: Yale University Press. Tusicisny Andrej. 2004. “Civilizational Conflicts: More Frequent Longer and Bloodier?” Journal of Peace Research 41/4 (July): 485-98. Urlanis B.T. 1971. Wars and Population. Moscow: Progress Publishers. 46 Valentino Benjamin. 2004. Final Solutions: Mass Killing and Genocide in the 20th Century. Ithaca: Cornell University Press. Valentino Benjamin Paul Huth and Dylan Balch-Lindsay. 2004. “Draining the Sea’: Mass Killing and Guerrilla Warfare.” International Organization 58/2 (April): 375-407. Wawro Geoffrey. 2003. The Franco-Prussian War: The German Conquest of |
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