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Bargaining Rigidities and the Rationality of War |
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Abstract:
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Theories of crisis bargaining implausibly assume that negotiations can take place at any time
without any cost. Yet when rigidities such as the domestic costs of making concessions or
signaling costs, for example, are taken into account, negotiations can become too costly to
revise frequently: agreements are sticky and extend for discrete periods of time. Noncontinuous
bargains leave the rising state with an opportunity loss, defined as the gains it
would obtain if negotiations were updated continuously so as to ensure a perfect fit between
the distribution of power and the distribution of benefits. Quick changes in relative power in a
dyad and rigidities in the bargaining process can lead the rising actor to anticipate a large
opportunity loss between two consecutive bargains, in which case there is no deal that both
actors prefer to fighting. Ex ante negotiations can break down into war, even with complete
information. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
bargain (144), d (142), war (141), cost (123), negoti (113), 1 (99), agreement (97), power (83), time (78), b (72), t1 (68), rigid (64), ration (62), state (56), growth (48), re (48), p (41), therefor (40), actor (39), re-negoti (39), inform (38), |
Author's Keywords:
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Bargaining, costs, rationality, crisis, uncertainty, negotiations, rigidities |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Chadefaux, Thomas. "Bargaining Rigidities and the Rationality of War" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40847_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Chadefaux, T. , 2005-09-01 "Bargaining Rigidities and the Rationality of War" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40847_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: Theories of crisis bargaining implausibly assume that negotiations can take place at any time
without any cost. Yet when rigidities such as the domestic costs of making concessions or
signaling costs, for example, are taken into account, negotiations can become too costly to
revise frequently: agreements are sticky and extend for discrete periods of time. Noncontinuous
bargains leave the rising state with an opportunity loss, defined as the gains it
would obtain if negotiations were updated continuously so as to ensure a perfect fit between
the distribution of power and the distribution of benefits. Quick changes in relative power in a
dyad and rigidities in the bargaining process can lead the rising actor to anticipate a large
opportunity loss between two consecutive bargains, in which case there is no deal that both
actors prefer to fighting. Ex ante negotiations can break down into war, even with complete
information. |
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| Document Type: |
application/pdf |
| Page count: |
37 |
| Word count: |
12471 |
| Text sample: |
| Bargaining Rigidities and the Rationality of War Thomas Chadefaux1 University of Michigan Ann Arbor Abstract Theories of crisis bargaining implausibly assume that negotiations can take place at any time without any cost. Yet when rigidities such as the domestic costs of making concessions or signaling costs for example are taken into account negotiations can become too costly to revise frequently: agreements are “sticky” and extend for discrete periods of time. Non- continuous bargains leave the rising state with an |
| Robert. 1999. In the Shadow of Power. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press. Powell Robert. 2002. “Bargaining theory and International Conflict”. Annual Review of Political Science 5: pp. 1-30. Rubinstein Ariel. 1982. “Perfect Equilibrium in a Bargaining Model.” Econometrica 50: pp. 97-109. Schelling. 1980. The Strategy of Conflict. Harvard University Press. Slantchev B. L. 2003. “The Power to Hurt: Costly Conflict with Completely Informed States”. American Political Science Review Vol. 97 No. 1. Thucydides. 1984. The Peloponnesian War. Translation by |
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