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Veto Players and Civil War Duration |
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Abstract:
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Civil wars show a remarkable variation in how long they last. Some end within days; others continue for decades. What explains the extreme intractability of some wars while others are resolved quickly? This paper argues that conflicts with multiple actors who must approve a settlement (veto players) are longer because there are fewer acceptable agreements, information asymmetries are more acute and shifting alliances and incentives to hold out make negotiation more difficult. This veto player approach to explaining variation in civil war duration is tested using a new dataset containing yearly data on all parties to each civil war begun since World War II. The statistical analysis shows a strong correlation between the number of veto players and the duration of civil war. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
war (201), conflict (196), veto (171), player (166), group (127), civil (121), parti (117), measur (79), two (70), use (62), durat (62), variabl (60), govern (60), tabl (52), code (51), prefer (47), bargain (46), negoti (45), number (43), state (42), one (41), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Cunningham, David. "Veto Players and Civil War Duration" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40859_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Cunningham, D. , 2005-09-01 "Veto Players and Civil War Duration" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p40859_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: Civil wars show a remarkable variation in how long they last. Some end within days; others continue for decades. What explains the extreme intractability of some wars while others are resolved quickly? This paper argues that conflicts with multiple actors who must approve a settlement (veto players) are longer because there are fewer acceptable agreements, information asymmetries are more acute and shifting alliances and incentives to hold out make negotiation more difficult. This veto player approach to explaining variation in civil war duration is tested using a new dataset containing yearly data on all parties to each civil war begun since World War II. The statistical analysis shows a strong correlation between the number of veto players and the duration of civil war. |
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| Document Type: |
PDF |
| Page count: |
50 |
| Word count: |
14095 |
| Text sample: |
| Veto Players and Civil War Duration David Cunningham Department of Political Science University of California San Diego dacunnin@ucsd.edu Abstract: Civil wars show a remarkable variation in how long they last. Some end within days; others continue for decades. What explains the extreme intractability of some wars while others are resolved quickly? This paper argues that conflicts with multiple actors who must approve a settlement (veto players) are longer because there are fewer acceptable agreements information asymmetries are more acute |
| 2.052** (0.212) Natural Log of Population -0.141 (0.064) Ethnic Fractionalization 0.035 (0.308) Warmonths^ -0.041** (0.011) Observations 13815 Note: Reported are coefficients with robust standard errors in parentheses. *significant at the .05 level **significant at the .01 level (two-tailed test) ^Warmonths measure includes cubic splines I do not report the coefficients for those splines here because they do not have an interesting substantive interpretation. 48 |
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