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Veto Players and Civil War Duration
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guarantee variable is large and positive, indicating that guarantees shorten wars substantially.
The argument that sons of the soil conflicts are harder to resolve does not receive support from
this analysis. The sign on the sons of the soil variable is negative, as predicted, but it fails to
achieve traditional levels of significance in either test.
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This result is different from that found by Fearon 2004, however, he uses a different dataset. In particular, Fearon
does not require a conflict to continue to generate 25 battledeaths to be counted as ongoing. This may mean that while sons of the soil conflicts are rarely resolved definitively, they lay dormant for long periods of time and then flare up periodically.
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| | Authors: Cunningham, David. |
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guarantee variable is large and positive, indicating that guarantees shorten wars substantially.
The argument that sons of the soil conflicts are harder to resolve does not receive support from
this analysis. The sign on the sons of the soil variable is negative, as predicted, but it fails to
achieve traditional levels of significance in either test.
47
This result is different from that found by Fearon 2004, however, he uses a different dataset. In particular, Fearon
does not require a conflict to continue to generate 25 battledeaths to be counted as ongoing. This may mean that
while sons of the soil conflicts are rarely resolved definitively, they lay dormant for long periods of time and then
flare up periodically.
37
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