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Table 5: Other Approaches
Model 1:
War Costs
Model 2:
War Costs
Model 3:
Commitment
Problems
Model 4:
All Approaches
Number of Veto
Players
-0.907*
(0.351)
-1.01**
(0.357)
-1.26**
(0.389)
-0.963**
(0.371)
Coup
2.486**
(0.232)
2.545**
(0.246)
2.073**
(0.221)
2.402**
(0.242)
Natural Log of
Population
-0.107
(0.072)
-0.091
(0.07)
-0.038
(0.064)
-0.058
(0.074)
Ethnic
Fractionalization
0.075
(0.359)
0.017
(0.367)
0.124
(0.302)
0.241
(0.376)
Natural Log of
Annual
Battledeaths
-0.144*
(0.057)
-0.163**
(0.059)
Previous Year
Natural Log of
Battledeaths
-0.063
(0.054)
Resources
-0.189
(0.196)
-0.157
(0.2)
-0.185
(0.204)
Mountains
0.007*
(0.003)
0.007*
(0.003)
0.008*
(0.003)
Forests
0.0002
(0.003)
0.0006
(0.003)
-0.0002
(0.003)
Log Real GDP
0.071
(0.089)
0.104
(0.09)
Pre-War GDP
0.141
(0.092)
International
Guarantee
1.45**
(0.426)
1.652**
(0.45)
Sons of the Soil
-0.388
(0.284)
-0.498
(0.335)
Warmonths^
-0.038**
(0.012)
0.035**
(0.126)
-0.047**
(0.011)
-0.038**
(0.012)
Observations
14864
15094
15932
14864
Note: Reported are coefficients with robust standard errors in parentheses.
*significant at the .05 level, **significant at the .01 level (two-tailed test)
^Warmonths measure includes cubic splines, I do not report the coefficients for those splines
here because they do not have an interesting substantive interpretation.
47
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