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What Did Rome Ever Do for Us?: State Capacity, Water Resources and Conflict
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“What Did Rome Ever Do for Us?”
State Capacity, Water Resources & Conflict
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Theodora-Ismene Gizelis, Ph.D.
Lecturer & Research Fellow
Department of Government
University of Essex,
Wivenhoe Park,
Colchester, Essex, CO4 S3Q, UK
+44(1206) 873021
## email not listed ##
Amanda E. Wooden, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science
Northeastern Illinois University
5500 North St. Louis Ave.
Chicago, IL 60625-4699, USA
+1-773-442-5656 (office)
+1-773-442-4900 (fax)
## email not listed ##
Abstract: The link between water resource scarcity and conflict has received a great deal of attention, both in qualitative case studies as well as comparative quantitative studies examined the hypothesized linkage between water resource scarcity and conflict. However, the relationship remains largely unclear since the literature has generally failed to consider the role of other factors believed to influence both conflict and environmental performance such as the effectiveness of governance. We distinguish between direct effects and indirect effects linking water resource scarcity and conflict by systematically examining intervening factors that might influence the impact of water scarcity on the probability of conflict. We find support for our hypotheses that there is a relationship between water scarcity, state capacity and conflict and that institutional factors are an important part of this causal chain. Institutional structures have both direct and indirect effects on water scarcity, and water resource availability has a negative impact on conflict.
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Prepared for delivery at the 2005 American Political Science Association (APSA) annual conference,
Washington, D.C. This article is in draft form; please do not use without permission of the authors. Comments are welcome.
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| | Authors: Gizelis, Ismene. and Wooden, Amanda. |
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“What Did Rome Ever Do for Us?”
State Capacity, Water Resources & Conflict
Theodora-Ismene Gizelis, Ph.D.
Lecturer & Research Fellow
Department of Government
University of Essex,
Wivenhoe Park,
Colchester, Essex, CO4 S3Q, UK
+44(1206) 873021
Amanda E. Wooden, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor
Department of Political Science
Northeastern Illinois University
5500 North St. Louis Ave.
Chicago, IL 60625-4699, USA
+1-773-442-5656 (office)
+1-773-442-4900 (fax)
Abstract:
The link between water resource scarcity and conflict has received a great deal of
attention, both in qualitative case studies as well as comparative quantitative studies
examined the hypothesized linkage between water resource scarcity and conflict.
However, the relationship remains largely unclear since the literature has generally failed
to consider the role of other factors believed to influence both conflict and environmental
performance such as the effectiveness of governance. We distinguish between direct
effects and indirect effects linking water resource scarcity and conflict by systematically
examining intervening factors that might influence the impact of water scarcity on the
probability of conflict. We find support for our hypotheses that there is a relationship
between water scarcity, state capacity and conflict and that institutional factors are an
important part of this causal chain. Institutional structures have both direct and indirect
effects on water scarcity, and water resource availability has a negative impact on
conflict.
1*
Prepared for delivery at the 2005 American Political Science Association (APSA) annual conference,
Washington, D.C. This article is in draft form; please do not use without permission of the authors.
Comments are welcome.
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