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Keeping Score: Parties, Interest Groups, and Roll-Call Voting in the U.S. House of Representatives
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| | Unformatted Document Text:
Table 3
Effect of Interest Group Scoring on Member Defection Rates in the U.S. House, 1991-2000
102d-103d
Democratic Majority
104th-107th
Republican Majority
Democrats
Republicans
Democrats
Republicans
Baseline .214
(.174-.254)
.202
(.199-.204)
.166
(.164-.168)
.152
(.150-.153)
ADA .388
(.365-.410)
.155
(.148-.162)
.279
(.260-.299)
.134
(.130-.138)
AFL-CIO .463
(.420-.510)
.224
(.212-.236)
.445
(.402-.490)
.166
(.160-.173)
LCV .416
(.387-.444)
.266
(.255-.277)
.350
(.325-.375)
.224
(.217-.250)
NFIB .251
(.238-.265)
- .165
(.159-.172)
-
Right to Life
-
-
.241
(.232-.249)
.170
(.116-.238)
Electorally Vulnerable Baseline
.163
(.159-.166)
.129
(.127-.131)
.129
(.127-.131)
.124
(.122-.126)
ADA x Electorally Vulnerable
.332
(.273-.397)
.118
(.103-.133)
.147
(.116-.184)
.123
(.113-.133)
AFL-CIO x Electorally Vulnerable
.522
(.387-.648)
.226
(.198-.257)
.197
(.126-.281)
.166
(.149-.182)
LCV x Electorally Vulnerable
.510
(.437-.581)
.186
(.162-.212)
.355
(.293-.422)
.247
(.230-.265)
NFIB x Electorally Vulnerable
.238
(.195-.284)
- .195
(.178-.213)
-
Right to Life x Electorally Vulnerable
- - .219
(.197-.241)
.217
(.072-.456)
Cell entries are the probability that a member defects from their party’s position, 95% confidence intervals in parentheses.
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| | Authors: Roberts, Jason. and Bell, Lauren. |
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Table 3
Effect of Interest Group Scoring on Member Defection Rates in the U.S. House, 1991-2000
102d-103d
Democratic Majority
104th-107th
Republican Majority
Democrats
Republicans
Democrats
Republicans
Baseline .214
(.174-.254)
.202
(.199-.204)
.166
(.164-.168)
.152
(.150-.153)
ADA .388
(.365-.410)
.155
(.148-.162)
.279
(.260-.299)
.134
(.130-.138)
AFL-CIO .463
(.420-.510)
.224
(.212-.236)
.445
(.402-.490)
.166
(.160-.173)
LCV .416
(.387-.444)
.266
(.255-.277)
.350
(.325-.375)
.224
(.217-.250)
NFIB .251
(.238-.265)
- .165
(.159-.172)
-
Right to Life
-
-
.241
(.232-.249)
.170
(.116-.238)
Electorally Vulnerable
Baseline
.163
(.159-.166)
.129
(.127-.131)
.129
(.127-.131)
.124
(.122-.126)
ADA x
Electorally Vulnerable
.332
(.273-.397)
.118
(.103-.133)
.147
(.116-.184)
.123
(.113-.133)
AFL-CIO x
Electorally Vulnerable
.522
(.387-.648)
.226
(.198-.257)
.197
(.126-.281)
.166
(.149-.182)
LCV x
Electorally Vulnerable
.510
(.437-.581)
.186
(.162-.212)
.355
(.293-.422)
.247
(.230-.265)
NFIB x
Electorally Vulnerable
.238
(.195-.284)
- .195
(.178-.213)
-
Right to Life x
Electorally Vulnerable
- - .219
(.197-.241)
.217
(.072-.456)
Cell entries are the probability that a member defects from their party’s position, 95%
confidence intervals in parentheses.
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