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Declining Fortunes: The Senate Foreign Relations Committee from 1946-2004
Unformatted Document Text:  49 Table 3. Three Models of Change in SFRC Prestige, 1947-2002 Internal Prestige External Prestige I) 1st Term Ratio a IIa) SFRC Mentions IIb) Chair Mentions OLS OLS OLS Poisson OLS Poisson Budget -0.888 1.236 263.601 ** 0.582 *** 166.523 *** 3.135882 *** (2.211) (2.280) (127.700) (0.072) (33.230) (0.188) Casualties -7.90E-06 *** -6.62E-06 *** 1.16E-04 4.88E-07 *** 6.92E-05 * 2.18E-06 *** (2.20E-06) (2.16E-06) (1.45E-04) (8.97E-08) (3.78E-05) (2.68E-07) Executive Orders -1.99E-02 4.75E-03 4.73033 ** 1.53E-02 *** 4.14E-01 1.65E-02 *** (3.47E-02) (3.46E-02) (2.27) (1.43E-03) (5.92E-01) (4.53E-03) SFRC Polarity 3.447 *** 1.058 -466.846 *** -1.860 *** -23.0902 -1.102856 *** (1.186) (1.498) (79.830) (0.059) (20.770) (0.192) Pres'l Advant -8.91E-03 -7.88E-03 0.292433 2.66E-03 *** -2.88E-03 2.85E-03 * (1.23E-02) (1.17E-02) (0.785) (5.42E-04) (0.204) (1.72E-03) Congruence -0.357 -0.574 8.06782 -0.019 2.22018 0.0966102 * (0.401) (0.392) (25.100) (0.018) (6.531) (0.056) SFRC Mentions - -0.005 ** - - - - (0.002) Constant 0.638766 3.307 ** 508.902 *** 6.569 *** 22.3301 3.402278 *** (0.953) (1.426) (66.130) (0.046) (17.200) (0.154) N 54 54 55 55 55 55 R 2 / Pseudo R 2 0.42 0.48 0.61 0.53 0.46 0.31 * p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01Standard Errors in parenthesesAll OLS are two-tailed tests. a The top four variables are lagged one time period in the internal prestige model to reflect the fact that senators' committee choices are based on prior experience.

Authors: Fowler, Linda. and Law, R. Brian.
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49
Table 3. Three Models of Change in SFRC Prestige, 1947-2002
Internal Prestige
External Prestige
I) 1st Term Ratio
a
IIa) SFRC Mentions
IIb) Chair Mentions
OLS
OLS
OLS
Poisson
OLS
Poisson
Budget
-0.888
1.236
263.601 **
0.582 ***
166.523 ***
3.135882 ***
(2.211)
(2.280)
(127.700)
(0.072)
(33.230)
(0.188)
Casualties
-7.90E-06 ***
-6.62E-06 ***
1.16E-04
4.88E-07 ***
6.92E-05 *
2.18E-06 ***
(2.20E-06)
(2.16E-06)
(1.45E-04)
(8.97E-08)
(3.78E-05)
(2.68E-07)
Executive Orders
-1.99E-02
4.75E-03
4.73033 **
1.53E-02 ***
4.14E-01
1.65E-02 ***
(3.47E-02)
(3.46E-02)
(2.27)
(1.43E-03)
(5.92E-01)
(4.53E-03)
SFRC Polarity
3.447 ***
1.058
-466.846 ***
-1.860 ***
-23.0902
-1.102856 ***
(1.186)
(1.498)
(79.830)
(0.059)
(20.770)
(0.192)
Pres'l Advant
-8.91E-03
-7.88E-03
0.292433
2.66E-03 ***
-2.88E-03
2.85E-03 *
(1.23E-02)
(1.17E-02)
(0.785)
(5.42E-04)
(0.204)
(1.72E-03)
Congruence
-0.357
-0.574
8.06782
-0.019
2.22018
0.0966102 *
(0.401)
(0.392)
(25.100)
(0.018)
(6.531)
(0.056)
SFRC Mentions
-
-0.005 **
-
-
-
-
(0.002)
Constant
0.638766
3.307 **
508.902 ***
6.569 ***
22.3301
3.402278 ***
(0.953)
(1.426)
(66.130)
(0.046)
(17.200)
(0.154)
N
54
54
55
55
55
55
R
2
/ Pseudo R
2
0.42
0.48
0.61
0.53
0.46
0.31
* p<.1, ** p<.05, *** p<.01
Standard Errors in parentheses
All OLS are two-tailed tests.
a
The top four variables are lagged one time period in the internal prestige model to reflect the fact that senators' committee
choices are based on prior experience.


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