 |
Campaign Finance Laws and Candidacy Decisions in State Legislative Elections
| |
| | Unformatted Document Text:
30
Table 3
Logistic Regression Analyses of Factors Affecting the Probability of an Independent Challenge
to an Incumbent in a General Election in 25 States (1994-98)
Probability
1
2
3
4
5
Change
District-Level Factors
Past Electoral Competitiveness
-.001
-.002
-.002
-.002
-.002
-.002
Partisan Homogeneity
.022
+
.030*
.028*
.030*
.028*
+.011
Social Diversity
-6.133*
-2.802
-1.870
-3.042
-1.988
-.005
Population
.003
.007*
.011***
.010**
.013***
+.032
Urban
.432
+
.406
.271
.437
+
.292
+.008
System-Level
Conditions
Legislative Professionalism
-.940
.829
-.637
-.797
-1.533
-.010
Chamber Competition
-.021*
-.008
.014
-.007
.014
+.009
Election
Context
1996
-.251
-.252
-.637*
-.255
-.626*
-.016
1998
.182
.148
-.272
.143
-.262
-.007
Filing Requirements
-----
-1.154***
-1.230***
-1.207***
-1.267***
-.109
Campaign
Finance Laws
Limitation Index
-----
-----
.297***
-----
.286***
+.076
Public Funding
-----
-----
-----
.839
+
.552
+.009
Constant
-1.418
-2.467*
-4.042***
-2.320*
-3.900***
N =
6,041
6,041
6,041
6,041
6,041
Base
Pseudo R
2
=
.003
.013
.016
.013
.016
Probability
Correctly Predicted =
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
.029
+ p < .10; * p < .05; ** p <.01; *** p < .001
|
| | Authors: Hogan, Robert. and Hamm, Keith. |
|
| |
|
|
30
Table 3
Logistic Regression Analyses of Factors Affecting the Probability of an Independent Challenge
to an Incumbent in a General Election in 25 States (1994-98)
Probability
1
2
3
4
5
Change
District-Level Factors
Past Electoral Competitiveness
-.001
-.002
-.002
-.002
-.002
-.002
Partisan Homogeneity
.022
+
.030*
.028*
.030*
.028*
+.011
Social Diversity
-6.133*
-2.802
-1.870
-3.042
-1.988
-.005
Population
.003
.007*
.011***
.010**
.013***
+.032
Urban
.432
+
.406
.271
.437
+
.292
+.008
System-Level
Conditions
Legislative Professionalism
-.940
.829
-.637
-.797
-1.533
-.010
Chamber Competition
-.021*
-.008
.014
-.007
.014
+.009
Election
Context
1996
-.251
-.252
-.637*
-.255
-.626*
-.016
1998
.182
.148
-.272
.143
-.262
-.007
Filing Requirements
-----
-1.154***
-1.230***
-1.207***
-1.267***
-.109
Campaign
Finance Laws
Limitation Index
-----
-----
.297***
-----
.286***
+.076
Public Funding
-----
-----
-----
.839
+
.552
+.009
Constant
-1.418
-2.467*
-4.042***
-2.320*
-3.900***
N =
6,041
6,041
6,041
6,041
6,041
Base
Pseudo R
2
=
.003
.013
.016
.013
.016
Probability
Correctly Predicted =
98%
98%
98%
98%
98%
.029
+ p < .10; * p < .05; ** p <.01; *** p < .001
|
|
 Convention | | All Academic Convention can solve the abstract management needs for any association's annual meeting. | | Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. | | Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! | | Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! | | Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. | | Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! | | Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! | | Click here for more information. |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
