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TABLE 4
Impact of Presidential Vote and Turnout on Democratic Seat Gain
in Term Limited and Non-Term Limited Legislatures
2004
Variable
B
Beta
B
Beta
Dem Presidential Vote
.306
.317
.730
(.194)
(.200)
PCI Growth
-.290
-.044
-.423
-.039
(.981)
(1.363)
Turnout Surge
-.068
-.239
.142
.227
(.043)
(.106)
Democratic Seats
-.073
-.127
-.470
(.116)
(.117)
Dem Vote in TL States
.730
-.026
-.048
(.100)
(.077)
Turnout in TL States
.471
.094
.099
(.164)
(.167)
Constant
(6.995)
(8.240)
R2
.29
.45
Adj.R 2
.17
.36
N
43
43
***p <.01
**p <.05
*p <.10
2000
.961***
-.345***
.307***
-15.027**
-25.396***
.303*
16
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