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Weaver 19
Racial Unrest and Criminal Justice
A
PPENDIX
I: Time-Series Cross-Sectional Models of Incarceration
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Model 4
Percent Black
60.163***
(9.170)
Percent Black Squared
-.752***
(.242)
Black Elected Officials
12.674***
(1.031)
Black Mayor
17.141***
(4.799)
VRA Coverage
305.017***
(59.867)
Crime Index
0.000***
0.000
-0.000
0.000***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
Violent Crime
-0.138***
0.010
0.094
-0.116**
(0.054)
(0.066)
(0.074)
(0.055)
Government Ideology
-2.721***
-3.891***
-1.854
-2.205**
(0.971)
(1.150)
(1.323)
(0.998)
Citizen Ideology
-1.320
-10.894***
-14.224***
-4.804***
(1.731)
(1.963)
(2.294)
(1.768)
Personal Income (per capita)
0.114***
0.120***
0.130***
0.114***
(0.002)
(0.002)
(0.003)
(0.002)
Population (in thousands)
0.018***
0.028***
0.025***
0.025***
(0.004)
(0.004)
(0.005)
(0.004)
Urbanicity
.182
8.266***
5.506***
4.631***
(1.150)
(1.139)
(1.279)
(0.971)
Northeast
-369.447***
-400.990***
-282.631***
-404.542***
(55.866)
(63.564)
(71.875)
(58.092)
South
447.677***
857.871***
1,062.689***
811.505***
(60.381)
(56.001)
(62.043)
(51.873)
West
451.485***
319.821***
303.505***
266.637***
(52.139)
(53.827)
(61.475)
(48.745)
Constant
-90.624
-254.671***
-69.540
58.301
(71.878)
(85.797)
(97.285)
(73.392)
Observations
1965
1599
1430
1965
R-Squared
.7207
.7308
.6943
.7026
Table 1: PCSE Regression Results. Standard errors in parentheses. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%;
*** significant at 1%
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
Protest
14.074**
(6.188)
Protest 1 Year Lag
10.942*
(6.295)
Protest 2 Year Lag
9.201
(6.560)
Crime Index
0.000
0.000
0.000
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