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28
Table 1. Estimates for Catholic Vote Percentage for Democratic Candidate
Gallup
National Election
Studies
Major Media
Exit Polls
1952
56%
52%
--
1956 51
46
--
1960 78
82
--
1964 76
79
--
1968 59
56
--
1972
48
39
44%
1976 57
57
54
1980 46
41
42
1984 39
46
45
1988 51
52
47
1992 47
50
44
1996 55
55
53
2000 52
50
50
2004 52
51
47
Table 2. The 2004 Catholic Vote Nationally and Within Regions
Kerry
Bush
Other
Candidates
Nationally
47%
52%
1%
East 48
51
1
Midwest 49
50
1
South 41
59
1
West 58
40
2
Swing States
48
51
1
Non-Swing States
49
50
1
Bishop Denial Statement States
44
55
1
States without Denial Statements
50
49
1
Note: the national percentage is calculated with the National Exit Poll data. All other sub-national
estimates are made with the Combined Exit Poll (state-level) data.
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