19
Table 3. Term Limits, the Economy, and Presidential Choice
by Level of Political Sophistication (Logit Models)
Independent Variables
Low
Medium-
Low
Medium-
High
High
Open-Seat Elections
-0.19
-0.37
0.04
0.16
(0.20) (0.17) (0.21) (0.27)
Sociotropic (when not Open-Seat)
1.76**
2.01**
1.82**
1.20**
(0.26) (0.22) (0.27) (0.27)
Pocketbook (when not Open-Seat)
-0.01
0.22
-0.02
0.79**
(0.20) (0.18) (0.23) (0.26)
Open-seat × Sociotropic
-1.22**
-0.95**
-1.46**
-1.20**
(0.34) (0.31) (0.41) (0.51)
Open-seat × Pocketbook
-0.05
-0.20
0.33
-0.61
(0.30) (0.29) (0.36) (0.59)
Conditional Effect:
Sociotropic (when Open-Seat)
0.54**
1.05**
0.35
0.01
(0.22) (0.23) (0.33) (0.43)
Pocketbook (when Open-Seat)
-0.06
0.03
0.31
0.17
(0.22) (0.23) (0.28) (0.52)
Constant and 11 Control Variables
a
[not shown]
Pseudo-R²
0.40 0.53 0.57 0.66
Log
Likelihood
-480.74 -608.23 -399.34 -296.09
N
1149 1856 1336 1275
* p < .05; ** p < .01 (one-tailed test)
Entries are logit regression coefficients with standard errors in parentheses below.
a
Control variables included but not shown are the same as in Gomez and Wilson (2001) (see text; full results
available on request).
Convention