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Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? The Case of MPs in the 2005 UK Geneal Election |
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Abstract:
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British General Elections have traditionally been seen as national-level events, in which local factors play but a marginal role. That view has been under attack in recent years, with a growing body of work pointing out evidence of local variations in electoral performance. Almost none of this research, however, has looked at the role that MPs' legislative behaviour has on their performance - and in particular the link between their voting in the House of Commons and their performance at the subsequent election. This paper examines the 2005 British General Election, at which the conditions for legislative behaviour to influence electoral outcomes were better than they have been since the beginnings of the modern British party system. It finds that very few of the issues to occasion rebellion in the House of Commons had any effect on the fortunes of MPs. Both rebels and loyalists performed roughly equally at the polls, with no statistically significant difference between them. The only substantive exception to this is the subject of university top-up fees – where rebels do appear to have performed marginally better at the polls than those who did not defy the whips. This, however, was worth less than one percentage point – and probably helped determine the outcome in just six constituencies. For the most part, British voters still make their judgment about the government as a whole – not about the behaviour of individual MPs. |
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vote (153), labour (95), mps (78), rebellion (52), bill (49), rebel (45), elector (40), one (39), elect (35), would (34), issu (31), govern (30), 2001 (30), student (29), mp (29), constitu (29), perform (27), 2005 (25), differ (25), whip (25), saw (24), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Cowley, Philip. "Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? The Case of MPs in the 2005 UK Geneal Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p41497_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Cowley, P. , 2005-09-01 "Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? The Case of MPs in the 2005 UK Geneal Election" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p41497_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: British General Elections have traditionally been seen as national-level events, in which local factors play but a marginal role. That view has been under attack in recent years, with a growing body of work pointing out evidence of local variations in electoral performance. Almost none of this research, however, has looked at the role that MPs' legislative behaviour has on their performance - and in particular the link between their voting in the House of Commons and their performance at the subsequent election. This paper examines the 2005 British General Election, at which the conditions for legislative behaviour to influence electoral outcomes were better than they have been since the beginnings of the modern British party system. It finds that very few of the issues to occasion rebellion in the House of Commons had any effect on the fortunes of MPs. Both rebels and loyalists performed roughly equally at the polls, with no statistically significant difference between them. The only substantive exception to this is the subject of university top-up fees – where rebels do appear to have performed marginally better at the polls than those who did not defy the whips. This, however, was worth less than one percentage point – and probably helped determine the outcome in just six constituencies. For the most part, British voters still make their judgment about the government as a whole – not about the behaviour of individual MPs. |
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application/pdf |
| Page count: |
19 |
| Word count: |
8778 |
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| Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? Electoral Rewards and Punishment for Legislative Behaviour in an Era of Localized Campaigning Effects: The Case of the UK in 2005 PHILIP COWLEY * University of Nottingham UK Normal practice on election night is to deny furiously the outcome of any result until every vote is counted no matter what pundits and pollsters are predicting. It is always too early to say. The only votes that count are the ones in ballot boxes. |
| passage of the Serious Organised Crime and Police Bill the largest of which saw 34 Labour backbenchers support an amendment that would have offered a degree of extra protection for those affected when people sought to use religion to incite hatred against racial groups. 21. During February and March 2003 there were 27 rebellions during the passage of the Prevention of Terrorism Bill (19 occurring consecutively in one sitting) the largest of which saw 62 Labour MPs support an |
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