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Have Cue, Will Travel? Political Parties as Heuristics in Three Countries
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Table 5. Effectiveness of Party Cues in Opinion Expression, Ordered Probit Results, Mexico
Easy Issue:
Death Penalty
Easy Intermediate
Issue: Cuba
Hard Intermediate
Issue: War
Hard Issue:
PR
PAN Treatment (T)
0.063
(0.256)
-0.283
(0.217)
+
-0.302
(0.228)
+
0.196
(0.262)
PRI T
0.188
(0.237)
-0.275
(0.215)
+
-0.397
(0.222)
*
0.425
(0.239)
*
PRD T
0.201
(0.233)
-0.133
(0.218)
-0.175
(0.223)
0.519
(0.236)
**
PAN PID
-0.819
(0.241)
***
0.408
(0.208)
**
-0.193
(0.214)
-0.018
(0.246)
PRI PID
-1.082
(0.252)
***
-0.058
(0.217)
-0.015
(0.222)
0.352
(0.249)
+
PRD PID
-0.332
(0.343)
-0.183
(0.275)
0.296
(0.286)
0.256
(0.351)
PAN T * PAN PID
0.082
(0.408)
.
.
0.022
(0.423)
PRI T * PRI PID
-0.561
(0.465)
.
.
-1.183
(0.451)
***
PRD T * PRD PID
-1.573
(0.608)
***
.
.
-0.629
(0.572)
Ideology
0.016
(0.074)
0.014
(0.072)
0.010
(0.074)
-0.088
(0.076)
Female
-0.232
(0.159)
+
0.106
(0.154)
0.314
(0.158)
**
0.405
(0.161)
**
_cut1
-1.451
(0.328)
-1.229
(0.315)
-1.917
(0.343)
-1.023
(0.322)
_cut2
-0.468
(0.318)
-0.532
(0.309)
-1.172
(0.322)
-0.048
(0.322)
_cut3
-0.236
(0.317)
0.106
(0.309)
-0.317
(0.317)
0.508
(0.322)
_cut4
0.481
(0.317)
1.227
(0.316)
0.735
(0.317)
1.577
(0.331)
N
196
0.02
0.02
185
Pseudo R
2
0.08
195
190
0.04
LR chi2 (11)
45.38
12.28
9.13
21.55
Prob > chi2
0.000
0.140
0.017
0.028
***p≤0.01, **p≤0.05, *p≤0.10, +p≤0.20, two-tailed
Note: Treatment/Party ID interactions are included only for those models where their inclusion improved the fit of the model (based on a likelihood-ratio test, p<0.10).
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| | Authors: Merolla, Jennifer., Stephenson, Laura. and Zechmeister, Elizabeth. |
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Table 5. Effectiveness of Party Cues in Opinion Expression, Ordered Probit Results, Mexico
Easy Issue:
Death Penalty
Easy Intermediate
Issue: Cuba
Hard Intermediate
Issue: War
Hard Issue:
PR
PAN Treatment (T)
0.063
(0.256)
-0.283
(0.217)
+
-0.302
(0.228)
+
0.196
(0.262)
PRI T
0.188
(0.237)
-0.275
(0.215)
+
-0.397
(0.222)
*
0.425
(0.239)
*
PRD T
0.201
(0.233)
-0.133
(0.218)
-0.175
(0.223)
0.519
(0.236)
**
PAN PID
-0.819
(0.241)
***
0.408
(0.208)
**
-0.193
(0.214)
-0.018
(0.246)
PRI PID
-1.082
(0.252)
***
-0.058
(0.217)
-0.015
(0.222)
0.352
(0.249)
+
PRD PID
-0.332
(0.343)
-0.183
(0.275)
0.296
(0.286)
0.256
(0.351)
PAN T * PAN PID
0.082
(0.408)
.
.
0.022
(0.423)
PRI T * PRI PID
-0.561
(0.465)
.
.
-1.183
(0.451)
***
PRD T * PRD PID
-1.573
(0.608)
***
.
.
-0.629
(0.572)
Ideology
0.016
(0.074)
0.014
(0.072)
0.010
(0.074)
-0.088
(0.076)
Female
-0.232
(0.159)
+
0.106
(0.154)
0.314
(0.158)
**
0.405
(0.161)
**
_cut1
-1.451
(0.328)
-1.229
(0.315)
-1.917
(0.343)
-1.023
(0.322)
_cut2
-0.468
(0.318)
-0.532
(0.309)
-1.172
(0.322)
-0.048
(0.322)
_cut3
-0.236
(0.317)
0.106
(0.309)
-0.317
(0.317)
0.508
(0.322)
_cut4
0.481
(0.317)
1.227
(0.316)
0.735
(0.317)
1.577
(0.331)
N
196
0.02
0.02
185
Pseudo R
2
0.08
195
190
0.04
LR chi2 (11)
45.38
12.28
9.13
21.55
Prob > chi2
0.000
0.140
0.017
0.028
***p≤0.01, **p≤0.05, *p≤0.10, +p≤0.20, two-tailed
Note: Treatment/Party ID interactions are included only for those models where their inclusion improved the fit of the
model (based on a likelihood-ratio test, p<0.10).
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