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Being Policed? Or Just Pleasing Themselves? The Case of MPs in the 2005 UK Geneal Election
Unformatted Document Text:  9 2. Change in Labour vote, 2001-2005, rebellions plus other variables Anti-terror Education Nationality Enterprise Select Committee programme NHS Reform Iraq Criminal Justice Health and Social Care Firefighters Asylum and Immigration London -0.183** -0.180** -0.183** -0.180** -0.186** -0.184** -0.176** -0.178** -0.189** -0.187** -0.187** % Muslim -0.307*** -0.305*** -0.305*** -0.306*** -0.305*** -0.306*** -0.305*** -0.307*** -0.300*** -0.305*** -0.305*** % students -0.145** -0.148** -0.149** -0.144** -0.140** -0.148** -0.155** -0.144** -0.148** -0.143** -0.148** % Labour vote 2001 -0.139** -0.138** -0.139** -0.138** -0.134** -0.141** -0.132** -0.136** -0.140** -0.137** -0.138** First term incumbent 0.217*** 0.214*** 0.215*** 0.212*** 0.218*** 0.214*** 0.207*** 0.211*** 0.214*** 0.212*** 0.215*** Rebel 0.061 0.042 0.035 0.011 0.110* 0.048 0.063 -0.003 0.091 0.059 0.046 Adjusted R2 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.33 Higher Education Human Tissue Gambling Children Housing Serious Organised Crime Iraq Mental Capacity ID cards Railways Prevention of Terrorism Overall no of rebellions London -0.189** -0.178** -0.177** -0.178** -0.178** -0.180** -0.176** -0.170** -0.181** -0.179** -0.178** -0.188 % Muslim -0.305*** -0.307*** -0.302*** -0.305*** -0.307*** -0.309*** -0.305*** -0.309*** -0.307*** -0.307*** -0.307*** -0.306 % students -0.159** -0.144** -0.155** -0.145** -0.144** -0.145** -0.155** -0.147** -0.145** -0.142** -0.147** -0.152 % Labour vote 2001 -0.132** -0.136** -0.136** -0.136** -0.136** -0.139** -0.132** -0.145** -0.139** -0.136** -0.136** -0.141 First term incumbent 0.207*** 0.211*** 0.217*** 0.212*** 0.211*** 0.212*** 0.207*** 0.219*** 0.214*** 0.213*** 0.211*** 0.216 Rebel 0.105* 0.003 0.058 0.014 0.011 0.031 0.063 0.071 0.033 0.015 0.014 0.063 Adjusted R2 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 Note: * <0.05; ** <0.01; ***<0.001. Reported figures are the standardized coefficients. For reasons of space, other details have been excluded.

Authors: Cowley, Philip.
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9

2. Change in Labour vote, 2001-2005, rebellions plus other variables

Anti-terror
Education
Nationality
Enterprise
Select
Committee
programme
NHS
Reform
Iraq Criminal
Justice
Health and
Social Care
Firefighters
Asylum and
Immigration
London
-0.183** -0.180** -0.183** -0.180** -0.186** -0.184** -0.176** -0.178** -0.189** -0.187** -0.187**
%
Muslim
-0.307*** -0.305*** -0.305*** -0.306*** -0.305*** -0.306*** -0.305*** -0.307*** -0.300*** -0.305*** -0.305***
%
students
-0.145** -0.148** -0.149** -0.144** -0.140** -0.148** -0.155** -0.144** -0.148** -0.143** -0.148**
%
Labour
vote
2001 -0.139** -0.138** -0.139** -0.138** -0.134** -0.141** -0.132** -0.136** -0.140** -0.137** -0.138**
First
term
incumbent
0.217*** 0.214*** 0.215*** 0.212*** 0.218*** 0.214*** 0.207*** 0.211*** 0.214*** 0.212*** 0.215***
Rebel
0.061 0.042 0.035 0.011 0.110*
0.048 0.063 -0.003 0.091 0.059 0.046
Adjusted
R2
0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.34 0.33 0.33
Higher
Education
Human
Tissue
Gambling Children Housing Serious
Organised
Crime
Iraq Mental
Capacity
ID cards
Railways
Prevention
of
Terrorism
Overall no
of
rebellions
London
-0.189** -0.178** -0.177** -0.178** -0.178** -0.180** -0.176** -0.170** -0.181** -0.179** -0.178** -0.188
%
Muslim
-0.305*** -0.307*** -0.302*** -0.305*** -0.307*** -0.309*** -0.305*** -0.309*** -0.307*** -0.307*** -0.307*** -0.306
%
students
-0.159** -0.144** -0.155** -0.145** -0.144** -0.145** -0.155** -0.147** -0.145** -0.142** -0.147** -0.152
%
Labour
vote
2001 -0.132** -0.136** -0.136** -0.136** -0.136** -0.139** -0.132** -0.145** -0.139** -0.136** -0.136** -0.141
First
term
incumbent
0.207*** 0.211*** 0.217*** 0.212*** 0.211*** 0.212*** 0.207*** 0.219*** 0.214*** 0.213*** 0.211*** 0.216
Rebel
0.105* 0.003 0.058 0.014 0.011 0.031 0.063 0.071 0.033 0.015 0.014 0.063
Adjusted
R2
0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.33
Note: * <0.05; ** <0.01; ***<0.001. Reported figures are the standardized coefficients. For reasons of space, other details
have been excluded.


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