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Ecological Inference for large tables - The 1992 presidential vote in California
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Ecological Inference for large tables
- The 1992 presidential vote in California.
Søren Risbjerg Thomsen
Universitetsparken
DK-8000 Aarhus C
## email not listed ##
Abstract
With the latent structure method for ecological inference the estimation of individual-level tables for the association between social categories and voting behavior seems quite valid, even for large tables, when one has access to data from many geographical units on a low level of aggregation. This is illustrated in this article for the 1992 presidential vote in California with voting data and social data about race, education and age from 5,532 census tracts. Interesting findings concern especially the estimation of turnout within different social groups and the fact that the overall estimates are not much affected by making separate estimates within homogenous political regions or within counties. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, September 1-4, 2005, Washington DC.
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Ecological Inference for large tables
- The 1992 presidential vote in California.
Søren Risbjerg Thomsen
Universitetsparken
DK-8000 Aarhus C
## email not listed ##
Abstract
With the latent structure method for ecological inference the estimation of individual-level
tables for the association between social categories and voting behavior seems quite valid,
even for large tables, when one has access to data from many geographical units on a low
level of aggregation. This is illustrated in this article for the 1992 presidential vote in
California with voting data and social data about race, education and age from 5,532 census
tracts. Interesting findings concern especially the estimation of turnout within different social
groups and the fact that the overall estimates are not much affected by making separate
estimates within homogenous political regions or within counties.
Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association,
September 1-4, 2005, Washington DC.
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