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Failing States, Failing Data: The Case for QCA (Qualitative Comparative Analysis)
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Caty Clément
The overall conclusion of this research is that states are remarkably resilient: they adapt to numerous problems, they bend, and lean, but seldom break. To the state's credit it is able to cope relatively well with many destabilizing factors. However, when submitted to too much stress, states too reach a breaking point. Collapse is an extreme instance of instability where the simultaneous occurrence of four factors is ‘necessary’. These causes are an inconsistent external environment, an economic shift, the mobilization of ‘advanced’ groups and a poor renewal of the political elite. This study compares three type of situations (strength, crisis, and collapse) increasing our understanding not only of ‘why’ states collapse, but also of ‘how’ this occurs.
The Process of State Collapse
In the early stages of the destabilizing process, two variables bear more weight: an inconsistent external environment and the mobilization of advanced groups are each sufficient to weaken a strong state. This is particularly interesting because these are precisely the two aspects which are absent in many operational ‘early warning’ indicators used by development agencies. State failure is still seen as an essentially domestic process underplaying the crucial role of regional and international actors
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. It is sometimes assumed that the
external environment is important only later in the process when states are
group variable.
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Caty Clément
The overall conclusion of this research is that states are remarkably resilient: they adapt to numerous problems, they bend, and lean, but seldom break. To the state's credit it is able to cope relatively well with many destabilizing factors. However, when submitted to too much stress, states too reach a breaking point. Collapse is an extreme instance of instability where the simultaneous occurrence of four factors is ‘necessary’. These causes are an inconsistent external environment, an economic shift, the mobilization of ‘advanced’ groups and a poor renewal of the political elite. This study compares three type of situations (strength, crisis, and collapse) increasing our understanding not only of ‘why’ states collapse, but also of ‘how’ this occurs.
The Process of State Collapse
In the early stages of the destabilizing process, two variables bear more weight: an inconsistent external environment and the mobilization of advanced groups are each sufficient to weaken a strong state. This is particularly interesting because these are precisely the two aspects which are absent in many operational ‘early warning’ indicators used by development agencies. State failure is still seen as an essentially domestic process underplaying the crucial role of regional and international actors
. It is sometimes assumed that the
external environment is important only later in the process when states are
group variable.
29
29
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