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Weak States, Strong States: Comparing Postcommunist Democratization

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Abstract:

For many scholars in the discipline, the links between a strong state and democratic institutions are clear. However compelling, this proposition was never rigorously tested in the context of postcommunist countries. For this reason, by means of different types of statistical modeling, the present research proposes to evaluate how well these hypotheses reflect the reality of postcommunist transformations. First, cross-sectional estimations using both static and dynamic specifications will be performed. Following this, more ambitious time-series cross-sectional (TSCS) estimations will be performed on 21 countries from 1989 to 2003.

On the one hand, the results from the present study show that the links are clear between a strong state that has been able to apply a definitive set of rules and build channels for political support, and democratic institutions. On the other hand, where state capacity was more limited after independence was gained, democracy was a less likely outcome. Indeed, it is far from inevitable that rulers achieve predominance for the state and many postcommunist countries seem like case-points. By trying to recentralize power to compensate for the state’s administrative limitations, executive authorities also had a parallel tendency to suppress liberties and freedoms. Since we know that a strong state either could be the “guarantor of democracy” (Bunce, 2000) or an intervening variable in explaining economic success (Johnson, 2003), this paper demonstrates that when studying non-Western industrial countries the analytical point of departure needs to be beyond constitutions and institutional features such as party systems and electoral modes.

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state (157), polit (80), democraci (79), countri (69), capac (56), level (54), 1 (51), model (41), effect (40), develop (37), extract (34), rpe (34), variabl (34), relat (33), measur (33), fortin (32), govern (31), one (31), estim (31), gdp (31), time (31),
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Fortin, Jessica. "Weak States, Strong States: Comparing Postcommunist Democratization" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC, Sep 01, 2005 <Not Available>. 2011-03-14 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p42339_index.html>

APA Citation:

Fortin, J. , 2005-09-01 "Weak States, Strong States: Comparing Postcommunist Democratization" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Marriott Wardman Park, Omni Shoreham, Washington Hilton, Washington, DC Online <APPLICATION/PDF>. 2011-03-14 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p42339_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: For many scholars in the discipline, the links between a strong state and democratic institutions are clear. However compelling, this proposition was never rigorously tested in the context of postcommunist countries. For this reason, by means of different types of statistical modeling, the present research proposes to evaluate how well these hypotheses reflect the reality of postcommunist transformations. First, cross-sectional estimations using both static and dynamic specifications will be performed. Following this, more ambitious time-series cross-sectional (TSCS) estimations will be performed on 21 countries from 1989 to 2003.

On the one hand, the results from the present study show that the links are clear between a strong state that has been able to apply a definitive set of rules and build channels for political support, and democratic institutions. On the other hand, where state capacity was more limited after independence was gained, democracy was a less likely outcome. Indeed, it is far from inevitable that rulers achieve predominance for the state and many postcommunist countries seem like case-points. By trying to recentralize power to compensate for the state’s administrative limitations, executive authorities also had a parallel tendency to suppress liberties and freedoms. Since we know that a strong state either could be the “guarantor of democracy” (Bunce, 2000) or an intervening variable in explaining economic success (Johnson, 2003), this paper demonstrates that when studying non-Western industrial countries the analytical point of departure needs to be beyond constitutions and institutional features such as party systems and electoral modes.

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Document Type: application/pdf
Page count: 32
Word count: 9986
Text sample:
Weak States Strong States: Comparing Postcommunist Democratization Jessica Fortin McGill University Department of Political Science Leacock Building Room 414 855 Sherbrooke Street West Montreal Quebec H3A 2T7 Jessica.Fortin1@mail.mcgill.ca Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association Marriott Wardman Park Omni Shoreham Washington Hilton Washington DC 2005-09-01 COMMENTS WELCOME THIS IS A WORK IN PROGRESS Fortin 1 Weak States Strong States: Comparing Postcommunist Democratization Scholarship on comparative institutions has produced many fertile hypotheses concerning the role
Dependent Variable: Levels of Democracy 4 Marginal Effec t of RPE 2 0 -2 -4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Time in Years Marginal Effect of RPE 95% Confidence Interval


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