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Immigrant and Native: Mexican American Partisanship and Candidate Preference in the 2004 Elections Across Immigrant Generations
Unformatted Document Text:  Table 9 Candidate Preference, Bush (1) vs. Kerry (0), Mexican Americans by Generation of Immigration Logit coefficients (with p values in parentheses) Foreign Born Foreign Born Second generation Second generation Third and beyond generation Third and beyond generation Age .021 (.369) .010 (.638) .025 (.372) .010 (.679) .021 (.520) -.001 (.972) Education .086 (.330) .106 (.187) -.036 (.856) -.045 (.804) .062 (.742) .175 (.324) Protestant 1.072 (.096)* .981 (.098)* 3.923 (.074)* 2.835 (.111) .563 (.615) .700 (.449) Other/No religion .337 (.733) .568 (.530) .960 (.942) .728 (.916) 1.558 (.281) 1.819 (.200) Texas -.732 (.360) -.585 (.437) -1.770 (.260) -.417 (.722) -.060 (.959) .281 (.781) California -.815 (.274) -.665 (.344) -3.432 (.054)* -.2.608 (.093)* 1.686 (.202) 1.701 (.133) Candidate understands problems of respondent 1.242 (.006)*** 1.332 (.001)*** 1.791 (.026)** 1.629 (.027)** 1.864 (.004)*** 1.692 (.001)*** Candidate strong leader .816 (.111) .905 (.073)* 2.057 (.008)*** 1.876 (.012)** 1.738 (.179) 2.296 (.056)* Candidate can be trusted in crisis .693 (.147) .951 (.033)** .643 (.354) .752 (.238) 3.203 (.047)** 2.428 (.014)** Most imp. issue/ candidate will best address Economy – Men .860 (.368) 1.028 (.235) --- --- -1.377 (.369) -.572 (.657) Economy – Women .189 (.815) .130 (.878) --- --- .158 (.899) .988 (.436) Economy --- --- .535 (.557) .646 (.441) --- --- War on terror .577 (.441) .623 (.364) 9.610 (.797) 8.650 (.838) 1.203 (.257) .886 (.329) Iraq 2.037 (.195) 2.025 (.125) 1.400 (.299) 2.356 (.105) 3.324 (.065)* 2.188 (.105) Education -.081 (.908) .187 (.756) -1.524 (.310) -1.369 (.339) 4.750 (.047)** 3.483 (.046)** Share of Life in U.S. -2.453 (.183) -1.498 (.356) --- --- --- --- Partisanship 1.037 (.002)*** --- 1.145 (.087)* --- 1.617 (.010)** --- CONSTANT -1.122 (.553) -2.094 (.233) -.401 (.896) -.768 (.783) -6.053 (.133) 6.790 (.057) N 299 303 165 165 302 302 Log likelihood 112.936 125.148 34.999 38.496 46.820 56.002 Cox and Snell R 2 .520 .503 .641 .633 .657 .646 *** Sig. at .01 or better; ** Sig. at .05 or better; *Sig. at .10 or better. 55

Authors: DeSipio, Louis.
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Table 9
Candidate Preference, Bush (1) vs. Kerry (0), Mexican Americans by Generation of Immigration
Logit coefficients (with p values in parentheses)
Foreign Born
Foreign
Born
Second
generation
Second
generation
Third and
beyond
generation
Third and
beyond
generation
Age
.021 (.369)
.010 (.638)
.025 (.372)
.010 (.679)
.021
(.520)
-.001 (.972)
Education
.086 (.330)
.106 (.187)
-.036 (.856)
-.045 (.804)
.062
(.742)
.175 (.324)
Protestant
1.072 (.096)*
.981 (.098)*
3.923 (.074)*
2.835 (.111)
.563
(.615)
.700 (.449)
Other/No
religion
.337 (.733)
.568 (.530)
.960 (.942)
.728 (.916)
1.558
(.281)
1.819
(.200)
Texas
-.732 (.360)
-.585 (.437)
-1.770 (.260)
-.417 (.722)
-.060
(.959)
.281 (.781)
California
-.815 (.274)
-.665 (.344)
-3.432 (.054)*
-.2.608
(.093)*
1.686
(.202)
1.701
(.133)
Candidate
understands
problems of
respondent
1.242 (.006)***
1.332
(.001)***
1.791 (.026)**
1.629
(.027)**
1.864
(.004)***
1.692
(.001)***
Candidate strong
leader
.816 (.111)
.905 (.073)*
2.057
(.008)***
1.876
(.012)**
1.738
(.179)
2.296
(.056)*
Candidate can be
trusted in crisis
.693 (.147)
.951
(.033)**
.643 (.354)
.752 (.238)
3.203
(.047)**
2.428
(.014)**
Most imp. issue/
candidate will
best address
Economy – Men
.860 (.368)
1.028 (.235)
---
---
-1.377
(.369)
-.572 (.657)
Economy –
Women
.189 (.815)
.130 (.878)
---
---
.158
(.899)
.988 (.436)
Economy
---
---
.535 (.557)
.646 (.441)
---
---
War on terror
.577 (.441)
.623 (.364)
9.610 (.797)
8.650 (.838)
1.203
(.257)
.886 (.329)
Iraq
2.037 (.195)
2.025 (.125)
1.400 (.299)
2.356 (.105)
3.324
(.065)*
2.188
(.105)
Education
-.081 (.908)
.187 (.756)
-1.524 (.310)
-1.369
(.339)
4.750
(.047)**
3.483
(.046)**
Share of Life in
U.S.
-2.453 (.183)
-1.498
(.356)
---
---
---
---
Partisanship
1.037 (.002)***
---
1.145 (.087)*
---
1.617
(.010)**
---
CONSTANT
-1.122 (.553)
-2.094
(.233)
-.401 (.896)
-.768 (.783)
-6.053
(.133)
6.790
(.057)
N
299
303
165
165
302
302
Log likelihood
112.936
125.148
34.999
38.496
46.820
56.002
Cox and Snell R
2
.520
.503
.641
.633
.657
.646
*** Sig. at .01 or better; ** Sig. at .05 or better; *Sig. at .10 or better.
55


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