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Identity and Conflict in Nigeria's Niger Delta: New Evidence from Attitude Surveys

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This paper examines public attitudes and participation in the Niger Delta of Nigeria, a major site of contentious ethnic mobilization and conflict. The data is drawn from three Afrobarometer surveys, providing a time series from a large and uniquely representative sample of citizens from the Delta region. There are three preliminary findings, based upon descriptive statistics and partial event analysis. The pattern of attitudes in Niger Delta, when situated within events, is consonant with constructivist accounts of identity formation. Subjective identities are volatile, and shifts in identity can be explained with reference to political opportunities and economic inducements. Second, with regard to the discourse of grievance in the Niger Delta, parochial ethnic identities are predominant, rather than an overarching regional identity. Ethnic identities are animated by a combination of political challenges and economic interests. Third, regime type does not adequately account for changes in identity and behavior. Democratic governance can reduce communal polarization when the political system furnishes desired collective goods. When citizens perceive that the system has failed to provide essential political or economic goods, they are more likely to gravitate to communal identities and to pursue contentious mobilization.

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delta (158), ident (104), polit (98), niger (95), region (57), nigerian (51), govern (46), ethnic (40), nigeria (38), oil (36), democraci (36), among (34), attitud (33), econom (32), conflict (31), democrat (30), communiti (28), tabl (28), survey (28), percent (26), resid (26),
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Lewis, Peter. "Identity and Conflict in Nigeria's Niger Delta: New Evidence from Attitude Surveys" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Sep 02, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p59519_index.html>

APA Citation:

Lewis, P. , 2004-09-02 "Identity and Conflict in Nigeria's Niger Delta: New Evidence from Attitude Surveys" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p59519_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: This paper examines public attitudes and participation in the Niger Delta of Nigeria, a major site of contentious ethnic mobilization and conflict. The data is drawn from three Afrobarometer surveys, providing a time series from a large and uniquely representative sample of citizens from the Delta region. There are three preliminary findings, based upon descriptive statistics and partial event analysis. The pattern of attitudes in Niger Delta, when situated within events, is consonant with constructivist accounts of identity formation. Subjective identities are volatile, and shifts in identity can be explained with reference to political opportunities and economic inducements. Second, with regard to the discourse of grievance in the Niger Delta, parochial ethnic identities are predominant, rather than an overarching regional identity. Ethnic identities are animated by a combination of political challenges and economic interests. Third, regime type does not adequately account for changes in identity and behavior. Democratic governance can reduce communal polarization when the political system furnishes desired collective goods. When citizens perceive that the system has failed to provide essential political or economic goods, they are more likely to gravitate to communal identities and to pursue contentious mobilization.

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Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 30
Word count: 7644
Text sample:
DRAFT IDENTITY AND CONFLICT IN NIGERIA'S NIGER DELTA: NEW EVIDENCE FROM ATTITUDE SURVEYS Peter M. Lewis Associate Professor American University School of International Service plewis@american.edu Tel: 202-885-2467 Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association Chicago September 2 2004 Abstract What is the relationship between communal identity economic deprivation and political behavior? When do ethnic inequalities lead to polarization and violence? How does political democracy influence identity and political participation? In order to understand the
Delta 48 72 57 Other Nigerians 47 54 63 [During the past year have you...]Got together with others to raise an issue? (% answering Sometimes/Often) Niger Delta 61 46 35 Other Nigerians 47 36 30 [During the past year have you...] Attended a demonstration or protest march? (% answering Sometimes/Often) Niger Delta 6 14 9 Other Nigerians 4 7 7 29


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