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NATO Expansion: Were the Critics Wrong?
Unformatted Document Text:  45 Table 5: Accuracy of Predictions Exacerbate security dilemma with Russia partialReduce arms control w/ Russia no Nationalist victory in Russia no Other anti-western Russian policies no Encourage Sino-Russian alliance partial Irrelevant to CE democratization yes/disputed Insufficient CE defense spending no Dilute alliance decision-making no Excessive CE defense spending no Create new division in Europe unknown Critic predictions Deter future Russian aggression unknown Aid CE democratic consolidation no/disputed Reassure Russia no Backer predictions Reduce security dilemma in CE partial

Authors: Ball, Christopher.
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45
Table 5: Accuracy of Predictions
Exacerbate security dilemma with Russia partial
Reduce arms control w/ Russia
no
Nationalist victory in Russia
no
Other anti-western Russian policies
no
Encourage Sino-Russian alliance
partial
Irrelevant to CE democratization
yes/disputed
Insufficient CE defense spending
no
Dilute alliance decision-making
no
Excessive CE defense spending
no
Create new division in Europe
unknown
Critic predictions
Deter future Russian aggression
unknown
Aid CE democratic consolidation
no/disputed
Reassure Russia
no
Backer predictions
Reduce security dilemma in CE
partial


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