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Reaching for the Stars: Cooperation after Interstate War |
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Abstract:
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How do democracy and external security concerns influence interstate reconciliation? This study examines the prospects of moving from a lower stage of peace to a higher stage of peace among former belligerents. I identify three categories of peace: pre-peace, negative peace, and positive peace. Specifically, I maintain that the effects of democracy and external security will have different effects on the prospects of interstate reconciliation based on what level of peace they are occurring at. I control for several other factors here that capture the effect of the last war, interest similarity, international factors, domestic politics, past conflict and opportunity factors. I test my arguments using duration analysis on a dataset that contains information on all former belligerents since 1816. The results give support to my contention that what matters at one stage will not necessarily have the same impact at another. In addition, it is found that many dyads move out of the lowest level of relations but that states find it rather hard to reach the highest level of peace. The results also show that both democracy and external security considerations do contribute to the highest level of peace being attained but the story is more complicated when it comes to leaving the lowest level of peace. |
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peac (255), negat (133), war (97), pre (91), pre-peac (83), conflict (82), posit (81), relat (77), time (72), state (69), intern (68), side (59), level (55), model (50), expect (49), result (46), factor (45), democraci (45), thus (44), dyad (44), see (43), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Bayer, Resat. "Reaching for the Stars: Cooperation after Interstate War" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Sep 02, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p60111_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Bayer, R. , 2004-09-02 "Reaching for the Stars: Cooperation after Interstate War" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p60111_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: How do democracy and external security concerns influence interstate reconciliation? This study examines the prospects of moving from a lower stage of peace to a higher stage of peace among former belligerents. I identify three categories of peace: pre-peace, negative peace, and positive peace. Specifically, I maintain that the effects of democracy and external security will have different effects on the prospects of interstate reconciliation based on what level of peace they are occurring at. I control for several other factors here that capture the effect of the last war, interest similarity, international factors, domestic politics, past conflict and opportunity factors. I test my arguments using duration analysis on a dataset that contains information on all former belligerents since 1816. The results give support to my contention that what matters at one stage will not necessarily have the same impact at another. In addition, it is found that many dyads move out of the lowest level of relations but that states find it rather hard to reach the highest level of peace. The results also show that both democracy and external security considerations do contribute to the highest level of peace being attained but the story is more complicated when it comes to leaving the lowest level of peace. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
28 |
| Word count: |
13849 |
| Text sample: |
| Reaching for the Stars: Peace between Former Belligerents Resat Bayer Department of Political Science Kauke Hall College of Wooster 1189 Beall Avenue Wooster OH 44691 rbayer@wooster.edu Paper prepared for presentation at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association Chicago Illinois September 2004. Abstract How do democracy and external security concerns influence interstate reconciliation? This study examines the prospects of moving from a lower stage of peace to a higher stage of peace among former belligerents. I identify |
| 0.000 0.001 Joint Civilization Membership * Time 0.558 0.121 *** Distance * Time 0.000 0.000 ** Change in Relative Power * Time -0.433 0.415 Recent Conflict * Time 1.315 0.533 ** 2109 5616 N 200 102 Event 219.810 140.550 Wald chi2 -878.073 -414.088 Log Likelihood *: p <.1; **: p <.05; ***: p <.01 28 |
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