28
Table 4. Reaching Negative Peace and Positive Peace
Coef.
Std.
Error
Coef.
Std.
Error
Past Executive Loss
0.360
0.167 *
-0.552 0.655
Past Battle Losses
-0.022
0.039
0.081
0.061
Exchange of Territory
0.093
0.162
0.013
0.232
Imposed Settlement
0.976
0.206 ***
1.770
0.811 **
Foreign Policy Portfolio Similarity
0.911
0.242
2.317
1.126 **
Third Party Conflict
-0.127
0.036 ***
0.097
0.033 ***
Closeness to Major Power
-0.494
0.463
2.552
1.078 **
International Norms
-0.086
0.163
-2.005 0.788 **
Joint IGO Memberships
6.613
0.915 ***
1.085
1.547
Level of Democracy
-0.002
0.001
0.004
0.001 ***
Duration of Regimes
-0.001
0.002
0.001
0.003
Joint Civilization Membership
-0.461
0.192 **
-0.152 0.197
Distance
-0.000
0.000 *
-0.001 0.000 ***
Change in Relative Power
0.046
0.073
-0.459 0.684
Recent Conflict
0.223
0.254
-2.584 1.327 *
Past Executive Loss * Time
0.286
0.240
Past Battle Losses * Time
-0.064
0.038 *
Imposed Settlement * Time
-0.378 0.268
Foreign Policy Portfolio Similarity * Time
-0.725 0.400 *
Third Party Conflict * Time
0.103
0.023 ***
International Norms * Time
0.572
0.277 **
Level of Democracy * Time
0.000
0.001
Joint Civilization Membership * Time
0.558
0.121 ***
Distance * Time
0.000
0.000 **
Change in Relative Power * Time
-0.433 0.415
Recent Conflict * Time
1.315
0.533 **
N
Event
Wald chi2
Log Likelihood
*: p <.1; **: p <.05; ***: p <.01
Model 1: Pre-Peace to
Negative Peace
Model 2: Negative
Peace to Positive Peace
5616
102
140.550
-414.088
2109
200
219.810
-878.073
Convention