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SNTV and Its Political Consequences: Mechanical Effect, Strategic Candidate Nomination, and the Origins of Japan’s One-Party Dominance
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35
Table 4: OLS Regression Analysis of Number of LDP Candidates
District
Magnitude
3 4 5
Num. of LDP Seats Won at t-1
0.21 ***
0.16 ***
0.30 ***
(0.05)
(0.05)
(0.05)
Num. of LDP Candidates at t-1
0.40 ***
0.47 ***
0.37 ***
(0.06)
(0.05)
(0.06)
DS Index
1.62 ***
1.23 ***
0.97 ***
(0.31)
(0.25)
(0.25)
Population Size (log)
-0.04
-0.08
0.13
(0.13)
(0.18)
(0.15)
DID Population Ratio
-0.12
0.00
-0.44 **
(0.23)
(0.23)
(0.20)
Agricultural-Sector Workers Ratio
-0.22
0.00
0.26
(0.36)
(0.36)
(0.38)
Female Population Ratio
1.64
2.85
0.05
(3.38)
(3.48)
(5.03)
Elderly Population Ratio
0.82
1.00
0.45
(1.09)
(1.25)
(1.64)
Constant 0.45
0.36
-0.80
(2.64)
(3.62)
(3.42)
RMSE 0.45
0.48
0.55
R-squared 0.57
0.63
0.67
F( 8, 53)
65.69
64.51
195.60
Num. of Districts
455
410
426
Note: *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.10 (two-sided). The numbers in parentheses are robust standard errors. RMSE stands for the root mean squared errors.
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| | Authors: Horiuchi, Yusaku. and Kohno, Masaru. |
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35
Table 4: OLS Regression Analysis of Number of LDP Candidates
District
Magnitude
3 4 5
Num. of LDP Seats Won at t-1
0.21 ***
0.16 ***
0.30 ***
(0.05)
(0.05)
(0.05)
Num. of LDP Candidates at t-1
0.40 ***
0.47 ***
0.37 ***
(0.06)
(0.05)
(0.06)
DS Index
1.62 ***
1.23 ***
0.97 ***
(0.31)
(0.25)
(0.25)
Population Size (log)
-0.04
-0.08
0.13
(0.13)
(0.18)
(0.15)
DID Population Ratio
-0.12
0.00
-0.44 **
(0.23)
(0.23)
(0.20)
Agricultural-Sector Workers Ratio
-0.22
0.00
0.26
(0.36)
(0.36)
(0.38)
Female Population Ratio
1.64
2.85
0.05
(3.38)
(3.48)
(5.03)
Elderly Population Ratio
0.82
1.00
0.45
(1.09)
(1.25)
(1.64)
Constant 0.45
0.36
-0.80
(2.64)
(3.62)
(3.42)
RMSE 0.45
0.48
0.55
R-squared 0.57
0.63
0.67
F( 8, 53)
65.69
64.51
195.60
Num. of Districts
455
410
426
Note: *** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.10 (two-sided). The numbers in parentheses are robust
standard errors. RMSE stands for the root mean squared errors.
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