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47
Table 5. Logistic Regression Models of Recall Turnout among Past Voters & Non-Voters
Those with 2000 and/or 2002 Voting History
Those Without Voting History
Constant
1.782***
.450***
Age 18-24
.411***
.912***
25-29
.465***
.879***
30-34
.601***
.959*
35-39
.799***
1.005
40-44
â€
--
--
45-49
1.182***
1.069***
50-54
1.389***
1.138***
55-59
1.516***
1.188***
60-64
1.564***
1.168***
65-69
1.596***
1.135***
70-74
1.616***
1.048
75-79
1.488***
.927*
80-84
1.156***
.668***
85-89
.758***
.484***
90-94
.543***
.315***
95-99
.361***
.313***
Birth Place California
.993
.854***
U.S. (other than CA)
â€
--
--
U.S. Territory
.536***
.605***
Foreign-Born
.656***
.745***
Decline to State/Unknown
.791***
.664***
Party Registration Democrat
1.228***
1.054***
Republican
1.472***
1.285***
Green
1.389***
1.492***
Libertarian
1.257***
1.127*
Natural Law
.780***
.474***
American Independent
.936*
.802***
Peace and Freedom
.833**
.495***
None/Other
â€
--
--
Community Partisanship Democrat % (zip code)
1.000
.993***
Republican % (zip code)
1.009***
1.011***
Other % (zip code)
â€
--
--
Area Los Angeles
â€
--
--
Orange County
.841***
.727***
San Francisco
1.664***
1.584***
Number of Cases/Random%
359,956/10%
295,023/20%
Correct Prediction
71.7%
71.5%
Nagelkerke R-Square
.075
.030
*p<.05, **p<.01, ***p<.001. Table reports Exp(B) coefficients.
â€
Excluded reference categories.
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