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A Combination of Methods. The Way Forward in Coalition Research |
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Abstract:
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Current research on coalition formation is plagued by two serious problems. First, we still cannot predict more than about one third of the governments that form in the Western European countries, and second, we typically do not have a good understanding of the causal mechanisms that explain the effects found in large-n coalition studies. In this paper, we illustrate that a combination of a statistical analysis and case study analyses should enable us to solve these problems and thus come closer to explaining and predicting coalition formation. Since statistical analyses are well equipped for measuring and isolating causal effects, we argue that a coalition study should start with such an analysis. By using the predictions made in this analysis, we can then select cases for an intensive study. In order to study the mechanisms underlying the effects found in large-n coalition studies, we argue for selecting cases that are predicted, and then applying the method of process verification. In order to find new explanatory variables, we argue for selecting cases that are deviant, and then applying the method of process induction. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
parti (180), case (177), coalit (168), govern (150), predict (137), studi (122), variabl (89), model (78), theori (77), format (75), causal (69), process (63), effect (63), research (56), use (55), select (53), form (52), method (52), analysi (52), number (51), mechan (50), |
Author's Keywords:
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mixed methods - causal mechanisms - process tracing- coalition studies - comparative government formation |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Bäck, Hanna. and Dumont, Patrick. "A Combination of Methods. The Way Forward in Coalition Research" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL, Sep 04, 2004 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p61188_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Bäck, H. and Dumont, P. , 2004-09-04 "A Combination of Methods. The Way Forward in Coalition Research" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Hilton Chicago and the Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, IL Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p61188_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: Current research on coalition formation is plagued by two serious problems. First, we still cannot predict more than about one third of the governments that form in the Western European countries, and second, we typically do not have a good understanding of the causal mechanisms that explain the effects found in large-n coalition studies. In this paper, we illustrate that a combination of a statistical analysis and case study analyses should enable us to solve these problems and thus come closer to explaining and predicting coalition formation. Since statistical analyses are well equipped for measuring and isolating causal effects, we argue that a coalition study should start with such an analysis. By using the predictions made in this analysis, we can then select cases for an intensive study. In order to study the mechanisms underlying the effects found in large-n coalition studies, we argue for selecting cases that are predicted, and then applying the method of process verification. In order to find new explanatory variables, we argue for selecting cases that are deviant, and then applying the method of process induction. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
29 |
| Word count: |
14100 |
| Text sample: |
| A Combination of Methods. The Way Forward in Coalition Research Hanna Bäck Department of Government Uppsala University hanna.back@statsvet.uu.se Patrick Dumont Université Catholique de Louvain & Université du Luxembourg dumont@spri.ucl.ac.be Prepared for delivery at the 2004 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association September 25 2004. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. Abstract Current research on coalition formation is plagued by two serious problems. First we still cannot predict more than about one third of the governments that |
| Li= Liberals G= Greens ND= New Democracy (Populists) Ce= Centre Party Co= Conservatives Finland 1995 (Source: Jungar 2000.) LWA SDP GL Ce FRP CHR SPP NCP Others Total 22 63 9 44 1 7 12 39 3 200 LWA= Left-Wing Alliance (Communists) CHR= Christian Democrats SDP= Social Democrats SPP= Swedish People's Party GL= Greens NCP= Conservatives Ce= Centre Party Others= Amongst these two seats for a FRP= Finnish Rural Party party called "Young Finns" 27 |
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