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Ideology, Issue Preferences, and Political Choice: The Paradox of Conflicted Conservatives
Unformatted Document Text:  38 Table 7. Effects on the likelihood of voting for George Bush among conflicted conservatives, 2000. Party Identification (0-7 scale) .84 ** (.19) Strength of (conservative) Ideology -.16 (.60) Strength of (liberal) issue preferences -.25 * (.10) Age .11 (.13) Age squared -.001 (.008) Nonwhite -1.93 * (.85) Female -.20 (.68) South .77 (.72) Education .00 (.26) Income .04 (.09) Personal Retrospections .25 (.38) Personal Prospections -.87 * (.45) National Retrospections -.20 (.32) National Prospections -.82 * (.45) Skepticism of government intervention .06 (.31) Egalitarianism .06 (.53) Moral traditionalism -.67 (.55) Feelings toward “Democratic” groups -.017 ** (.006) Feelings toward “Republican” groups .045 ** (.009) Perception of Candidate Conservatism .91 * (.43) Notes: Estimates are logit coefficients. Standard errors in parentheses. N=175. Number of “successes” (Bush votes) = 93. * p<.05 **p<.01 (one-tailed) Log-Likelihood: -86.06 Note: estimates for “branching” and “phone” format dummies are non-significant (p>.10) and not shown.

Authors: Ellis, Christopher.
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38
Table 7. Effects on the likelihood of voting for George Bush among conflicted conservatives, 2000.
Party Identification (0-7 scale)
.84 **
(.19)
Strength of (conservative)
Ideology
-.16
(.60)
Strength of (liberal) issue
preferences
-.25 *
(.10)
Age .11
(.13)
Age squared
-.001
(.008)
Nonwhite -1.93
*
(.85)
Female -.20
(.68)
South .77
(.72)
Education .00
(.26)
Income .04
(.09)
Personal Retrospections
.25
(.38)
Personal Prospections
-.87 *
(.45)
National Retrospections
-.20
(.32)
National Prospections
-.82 *
(.45)
Skepticism of
government intervention
.06
(.31)
Egalitarianism .06
(.53)
Moral traditionalism
-.67
(.55)
Feelings toward
“Democratic” groups
-.017 **
(.006)
Feelings toward
“Republican” groups
.045 **
(.009)
Perception of Candidate
Conservatism
.91 *
(.43)
Notes: Estimates are logit coefficients. Standard errors in parentheses.
N=175. Number of “successes” (Bush votes) = 93.
* p<.05 **p<.01 (one-tailed)
Log-Likelihood: -86.06
Note: estimates for “branching” and “phone” format dummies are non-significant (p>.10) and not shown.


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