|
28
Table 5
Predicted Probabilities by Candidate Type, Electoral Margin and
Ideological Distance
Subsample &
Candidate type
Variable
25
th
percentile
75
th
percentile
Change
Democrats 1983-1988
Incumbent
Expected margin
.136
.077
-.059
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.111
.079
-.032
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.121
.107
-.014
Non-Incumbent
Expected margin
.056
.028
-.028
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.044
.040
-.004
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.043
.039
-.004
Democrats 1995-2000
Incumbent
Expected margin
.122
.033
-.089
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.086
.085
-.001
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.073
.047
-.026
Non-Incumbent
Expected margin
.053
.008
-.045
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.026
.012
-.014
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.029
.023
-.006
Republicans 1983-1988
Incumbent
Expected margin
.095
.045
-.050
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.075
.087
.012
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.066
.056
-.010
Non-Incumbent
Expected margin
.086
.032
-.054
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.069
.059
-.010
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.062
.040
-.022
Republicans 1995-2000
Incumbent
Expected margin
.077
.029
-.048
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.063
.051
-.012
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.057
.034
-.023
Non-Incumbent
Expected margin
.054
.009
-.045
- Extremist
Dimension 1 distance
.028
.012
-.016
- Moderate
Dimension 1 distance
.036
.029
-.007
All other variables are set equal to their median (if continuous) or mean (if dichotomous)
values for the full sample.
|
|
 Convention | | Need a solution for abstract management? All Academic can help! Contact us today to find out how our system can help your annual meeting. | | Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. | | Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! | | Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! | | Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. | | Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! | | Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! | | Click here for more information. |
|
|
