 |
Neighborhood Effects on Voter Turnout: What Voter Lists Can Teach Us
| |
| | Unformatted Document Text:
29
Table 1. Two Level Model of Voter Turnout, Controlling for Individual Characteristics and Neighborhood Contextual Effects
Fixed Effects
Explanatory Variable
Brevard
County, FL
Broward
County, FL
Hillsborough
County, FL
Orange
County FL
Palm Beach
County, FL
Pinellas
County, FL
Neighborhood Means (γ
0
)
Intercept
-0.9463*** (0.0665)
0.3882
-1.3556*** (0.0385)
0.2578
-1.1843*** (0.0525)
0.3060
-1.0437*** (0.0591)
0.3521
-0.9594*** (0.0504)
0.3831
-0.8386*** (0.0491)
0.4323
Republican Identifiers (γ
1
)
Intercept
0.7998***
(0.2502)
2.2251
0.2634**
(0.1171)
1.3014
0.7177***
(0.1451)
2.0497
0.6837***
(0.1715)
1.9812
0.5640***
(0.1532)
1.7576
0.7049***
(0.1555)
2.0237
Percent Black
-0.0013 (0.0030)
0.9987
-0.0034*** (0.0010)
0.9966
-0.0035* (0.0019)
0.9965
-0.0012 (0.0019)
0.9988
-0.0055*** (0.0016)
0.9945
-0.0005 (0.0018)
0.9995
Percent College Educated
-0.0146*** (0.0056)
0.9855
-0.0025 (0.0029)
0.9975
-0.0022 (0.0028)
0.9978
0.0050
(0.0038)
1.0050
-0.0044 (0.0035)
0.9957
-0.0103*** (0.0040)
0.9897
Percent Migrants (last 5 years)
-0.0032 (0.0043)
0.9968
-0.0071* (0.0043)
0.9929
-0.0074** (0.0034)
0.9926
-0.0069** (0.0035)
0.9932
-0.0077* (0.0044)
0.9923
-0.0091*** (0.0034)
0.9909
Percent Hispanic
-0.0032 (0.0122)
0.9968
0.0036**
(0.0017)
1.0036
-0.0020 (0.0018)
0.9980
-0.0009 (0.0023)
0.9991
-0.0002 (0.0023)
0.9998
0.0011
(0.0059)
1.0011
Percent Democratic
-0.0003 (0.0048)
0.9997
-0.0018 (0.0018)
0.9982
-0.0039 (0.0029)
0.9961
-0.0093*** (0.0032)
0.9908
-0.0063*** (0.0022)
0.9937
-0.0065** (0.0030)
0.9935
Median Family Income
0.1746***
(0.0637)
1.1908
0.0687**
(0.0319)
1.0711
0.0011
(0.0491)
1.0011
-0.0952 (0.0590)
0.9092
0.0593
(0.0412)
1.0611
0.1249***
(0.0442)
1.1330
Democratic Identifiers (γ
2
)
Intercept
0.4755*
(0.2618)
1.6088
0.4958***
(0.0914)
1.6418
0.4552***
(0.1340)
1.5765
0.4482**
(0.1825)
1.5654
0.3204***
(0.1242)
1.3777
0.2393
(0.1530)
1.2704
Percent Black
0.0038
(0.0026)
1.0038
-0.0003 (0.0007)
0.9997
-0.0011 (0.0013)
0.9989
-0.0007 (0.0016)
0.9993
-0.0030*** (0.0011)
0.9970
0.0033***
(0.0012)
1.0033
Percent College Educated
-0.0087 (0.0058)
0.9913
-0.0011 (0.0024)
0.9989
0.0005
(0.0028)
1.0005
-0.0026 (0.0040)
0.9974
-0.0049 (0.0034)
0.9951
-0.0054 (0.0039)
0.9946
Percent Migrants (last 5 years)
-0.0062 (0.0045)
0.9938
-0.0032 (0.0037)
0.9968
-0.0124*** (0.0033)
0.9877
0.0003
(0.0039)
1.0003
0.0022
(0.0041)
1.0022
-0.0045 (0.0034)
0.9955
|
| | Authors: Gimpel, James., Dyck, Joshua. and Shaw, Daron. |
|
| |
|
|
29
Table 1. Two Level Model of Voter Turnout, Controlling for Individual Characteristics and Neighborhood Contextual Effects
Fixed Effects
Explanatory Variable
Brevard
County, FL
Broward
County, FL
Hillsborough
County, FL
Orange
County FL
Palm Beach
County, FL
Pinellas
County, FL
Neighborhood Means (γ
0
)
Intercept
-0.9463***
(0.0665)
0.3882
-1.3556***
(0.0385)
0.2578
-1.1843***
(0.0525)
0.3060
-1.0437***
(0.0591)
0.3521
-0.9594***
(0.0504)
0.3831
-0.8386***
(0.0491)
0.4323
Republican Identifiers (γ
1
)
Intercept
0.7998***
(0.2502)
2.2251
0.2634**
(0.1171)
1.3014
0.7177***
(0.1451)
2.0497
0.6837***
(0.1715)
1.9812
0.5640***
(0.1532)
1.7576
0.7049***
(0.1555)
2.0237
Percent Black
-0.0013
(0.0030)
0.9987
-0.0034***
(0.0010)
0.9966
-0.0035*
(0.0019)
0.9965
-0.0012
(0.0019)
0.9988
-0.0055***
(0.0016)
0.9945
-0.0005
(0.0018)
0.9995
Percent College Educated
-0.0146***
(0.0056)
0.9855
-0.0025
(0.0029)
0.9975
-0.0022
(0.0028)
0.9978
0.0050
(0.0038)
1.0050
-0.0044
(0.0035)
0.9957
-0.0103***
(0.0040)
0.9897
Percent Migrants (last 5 years)
-0.0032
(0.0043)
0.9968
-0.0071*
(0.0043)
0.9929
-0.0074**
(0.0034)
0.9926
-0.0069**
(0.0035)
0.9932
-0.0077*
(0.0044)
0.9923
-0.0091***
(0.0034)
0.9909
Percent Hispanic
-0.0032
(0.0122)
0.9968
0.0036**
(0.0017)
1.0036
-0.0020
(0.0018)
0.9980
-0.0009
(0.0023)
0.9991
-0.0002
(0.0023)
0.9998
0.0011
(0.0059)
1.0011
Percent Democratic
-0.0003
(0.0048)
0.9997
-0.0018
(0.0018)
0.9982
-0.0039
(0.0029)
0.9961
-0.0093***
(0.0032)
0.9908
-0.0063***
(0.0022)
0.9937
-0.0065**
(0.0030)
0.9935
Median Family Income
0.1746***
(0.0637)
1.1908
0.0687**
(0.0319)
1.0711
0.0011
(0.0491)
1.0011
-0.0952
(0.0590)
0.9092
0.0593
(0.0412)
1.0611
0.1249***
(0.0442)
1.1330
Democratic Identifiers (γ
2
)
Intercept
0.4755*
(0.2618)
1.6088
0.4958***
(0.0914)
1.6418
0.4552***
(0.1340)
1.5765
0.4482**
(0.1825)
1.5654
0.3204***
(0.1242)
1.3777
0.2393
(0.1530)
1.2704
Percent Black
0.0038
(0.0026)
1.0038
-0.0003
(0.0007)
0.9997
-0.0011
(0.0013)
0.9989
-0.0007
(0.0016)
0.9993
-0.0030***
(0.0011)
0.9970
0.0033***
(0.0012)
1.0033
Percent College Educated
-0.0087
(0.0058)
0.9913
-0.0011
(0.0024)
0.9989
0.0005
(0.0028)
1.0005
-0.0026
(0.0040)
0.9974
-0.0049
(0.0034)
0.9951
-0.0054
(0.0039)
0.9946
Percent Migrants (last 5 years)
-0.0062
(0.0045)
0.9938
-0.0032
(0.0037)
0.9968
-0.0124***
(0.0033)
0.9877
0.0003
(0.0039)
1.0003
0.0022
(0.0041)
1.0022
-0.0045
(0.0034)
0.9955
|
|
 Convention | | All Academic Convention makes running your annual conference simple and cost effective. It is your online solution for abstract management, peer review, and scheduling for your annual meeting or convention. | | Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. | | Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! | | Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! | | Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. | | Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! | | Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! | | Click here for more information. |
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
