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Language Conflict, Political Protest, and Political Violence: Reexamining the Causal Link between Grievance and Action
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Despite the large volume of research conducted in a subfield of political science
with a long history and an increasingly pressing relevance to contemporary global problems, there remains a great deal of contestation about the consequences of ethnic, cultural, and linguistic diversity for governance, political stability, and violence. The notion that ethnic diversity itself is a direct cause of strife, political instability and conflict has been debunked in recent years by studies that have highlighted the mechanisms of interethnic cooperation (Fearon and Laitin 1996) and other causal factors that seem to trump ethnic diversity in predicting conflict (Fearon and Laitin 2003). In many senses, however, the jury is still out. The subfield of “ethnic conflict” finds its very existence predicated on the notion that ethnic warfare and interethnic struggles are phenomena which are analytically distinct from and often more violent and disastrous than other more conventional forms of contention (Horowitz 1985). Some take ethnicity’s causal significance almost for granted (e.g. Huntington 1993; Posen 1993; Easterly and Levine 1997) while others are less willing to believe in ethnicity’s distinctive significance (Mueller 2000). In essence, however, most mainstream arguments with regard to the relationship between ethnic diversity and governance can be divided into those arguing that ethnic diversity has negative social consequences and those who argue that ethnic diversity has only minimal or perhaps no negative consequences. An argument often dismissed out of hand for its counterintuitive nature, however, is the one that explores the possibility that some aspects of social diversity might have positive social consequences.
In a 2000 paper, David D. Laitin presents a highly counterintuitive argument
regarding the relationship between the intensity of language conflict between minority groups and states and the realization of contentious mobilization over these language grievances (Laitin 2000). In short Laitin concludes, based on his regression analysis of data from the Minorities at Risk Project
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(hereafter “MAR”) that when minority groups
experience language marginalization, the resultant grievances can make them less likely to engage in political violence. The relationship between conflict and violence is, in the case of language, presented as negative.
Laitin argues that language grievances, in a sense, are a “straw that strengthens
[rather than breaks] the camel’s back” (emphasis added) (Laitin 2000, p.541). He explains this relationship, which he himself admits to be somewhat incredible, by relying on two distinct theoretical propositions. In the first, he uses a simple extensive form game in which the government, a majority ethnic group, and a minority ethnic group make interdependent choices about an official language. The state requires the support of the majority group, and so it offers to select the majority group’s language as its official tongue. Laitin refers to this action as “language rationalization,” defined in his earlier work (in the Weberian tradition) as “the emergence of a single, dominant language in…[the] state, which becomes the official one for education, administration, and cultural life” (1992, p. ix). Majority groups, Laitin argues, will by and large defect and avoid colluding in these efforts at language rationalization because they fear that doing so would provoke the minority group to separate, seek autonomy, and perhaps even threaten the basis of majority group dominance. Minority groups are thus deterred from taking positive action against the state because they know that any state commitment to marginalize them linguistically through language rationalization would not be credible.
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2000
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| | Authors: McLaughlin, Eric. |
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1
Despite the large volume of research conducted in a subfield of political science
with a long history and an increasingly pressing relevance to contemporary global problems, there remains a great deal of contestation about the consequences of ethnic, cultural, and linguistic diversity for governance, political stability, and violence. The notion that ethnic diversity itself is a direct cause of strife, political instability and conflict has been debunked in recent years by studies that have highlighted the mechanisms of interethnic cooperation (Fearon and Laitin 1996) and other causal factors that seem to trump ethnic diversity in predicting conflict (Fearon and Laitin 2003). In many senses, however, the jury is still out. The subfield of “ethnic conflict” finds its very existence predicated on the notion that ethnic warfare and interethnic struggles are phenomena which are analytically distinct from and often more violent and disastrous than other more conventional forms of contention (Horowitz 1985). Some take ethnicity’s causal significance almost for granted (e.g. Huntington 1993; Posen 1993; Easterly and Levine 1997) while others are less willing to believe in ethnicity’s distinctive significance (Mueller 2000). In essence, however, most mainstream arguments with regard to the relationship between ethnic diversity and governance can be divided into those arguing that ethnic diversity has negative social consequences and those who argue that ethnic diversity has only minimal or perhaps no negative consequences. An argument often dismissed out of hand for its counterintuitive nature, however, is the one that explores the possibility that some aspects of social diversity might have positive social consequences.
In a 2000 paper, David D. Laitin presents a highly counterintuitive argument
regarding the relationship between the intensity of language conflict between minority groups and states and the realization of contentious mobilization over these language grievances (Laitin 2000). In short Laitin concludes, based on his regression analysis of data from the Minorities at Risk Project
1
(hereafter “MAR”) that when minority groups
experience language marginalization, the resultant grievances can make them less likely to engage in political violence. The relationship between conflict and violence is, in the case of language, presented as negative.
Laitin argues that language grievances, in a sense, are a “straw that strengthens
[rather than breaks] the camel’s back” (emphasis added) (Laitin 2000, p.541). He explains this relationship, which he himself admits to be somewhat incredible, by relying on two distinct theoretical propositions. In the first, he uses a simple extensive form game in which the government, a majority ethnic group, and a minority ethnic group make interdependent choices about an official language. The state requires the support of the majority group, and so it offers to select the majority group’s language as its official tongue. Laitin refers to this action as “language rationalization,” defined in his earlier work (in the Weberian tradition) as “the emergence of a single, dominant language in…[the] state, which becomes the official one for education, administration, and cultural life” (1992, p. ix). Majority groups, Laitin argues, will by and large defect and avoid colluding in these efforts at language rationalization because they fear that doing so would provoke the minority group to separate, seek autonomy, and perhaps even threaten the basis of majority group dominance. Minority groups are thus deterred from taking positive action against the state because they know that any state commitment to marginalize them linguistically through language rationalization would not be credible.
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2000
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