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Macro-Politics: The Dimensions and Dynamics of Public Opinion |
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Abstract:
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In this paper I expand the Issue Evolution theory of Carmines and
Stimson (1989) in two directions. First I expand it to two newer
issue conflicts than the racial case of the original. Then I use
issue evolution---and some assumptions about two-party
politics---to produce a conclusion about the expected
dimensionality of the issue space in American politics. That
conclusion, that the expected number of dimensions is one plus the
residue of not fully evolved issues, predicts the weak two
dimensional solution that emerges from analysis of the dynamics of
the issue space (public policy mood).
A second major analysis begins with the discrepancy between
operational and symbolic ideology, locating a very large
proportion of the electorate which is operationally liberal and
symbolically conservative. I argue that these ``conflicted
conservatives''---available as voters to both parties---provide
the key dynamic for change of American election outcomes. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
issu (134), liber (127), parti (110), conserv (101), one (67), polit (66), two (58), new (57), prefer (54), govern (46), symbol (44), dimens (43), republican (43), american (42), posit (40), con (40), voter (38), figur (38), candid (37), time (37), spend (37), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Stimson, James. "Macro-Politics: The Dimensions and Dynamics of Public Opinion" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 27, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p63497_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Stimson, J. , 2003-08-27 "Macro-Politics: The Dimensions and Dynamics of Public Opinion" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p63497_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: In this paper I expand the Issue Evolution theory of Carmines and
Stimson (1989) in two directions. First I expand it to two newer
issue conflicts than the racial case of the original. Then I use
issue evolution---and some assumptions about two-party
politics---to produce a conclusion about the expected
dimensionality of the issue space in American politics. That
conclusion, that the expected number of dimensions is one plus the
residue of not fully evolved issues, predicts the weak two
dimensional solution that emerges from analysis of the dynamics of
the issue space (public policy mood).
A second major analysis begins with the discrepancy between
operational and symbolic ideology, locating a very large
proportion of the electorate which is operationally liberal and
symbolically conservative. I argue that these ``conflicted
conservatives''---available as voters to both parties---provide
the key dynamic for change of American election outcomes. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
40 |
| Word count: |
13969 |
| Text sample: |
| The Dimensions and Dynamics of Public Opinion James A. Stimson University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill August 27 2003 Prepared for delivery at the 2003 Annual Meeting of the American Polit- ical Science Association August 28 - August 31 2003. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. 1 Abstract In this paper I expand the Issue Evolution theory of Carmines and Stimson (1989) in two directions. First I expand it to two newer is- sue conflicts than the |
| University Press. Stimson James A. 1998. Public Opinion in America: Moods Cycles and Swings. 2nd Edition. 2nd ed. Boulder CO: Westview Press 1998. Stimson James A. N.d. Tides of Consent: How Opinion Movements Shape American Politics. Chapel Hill NC: Unpublished book manuscript. Stokes Donald E. 1963. “Spatial Models of Party Competition.” American Political Science Review 57:368–377. Wolbrecht Christina. 2000. The Politics of Women’s Rights: Parties Po- sitions and Change. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Zaller John & Stanley Feldman. 1992. |
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