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UN Peacekeeping: Treaties, Signaling, and Peace

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Abstract:

Civil wars, when they end, seldom end well. Complete victory, one side's destruction or capitulation, is common. Negotiated settlements, although possible, are less common, and absent outside intervention, these settlements usually fail. Moreover, outside intervention only arrives when peace is likely, because the United Nations, today's primary intervener, is (largely) incapable of forcing peaceful outcomes. Treaties, as the conventional wisdom goes, are important signals for peace, but that wisdom comes from the study of interstate wars where the costs and risks of implementing peace settlements are fewer. In civil wars treaties are relatively costly to negotiate and their implementation more risky--at least for Dovish locals. Hawkish locals, alternatively, can and do use treaties, just as they use cease-fires, as tactical ploys. Given that, how can the UN use treaties as peace signals? A possible answer, which I illustrate with a simple intervention model, is that the UN is able to use treaties as peace signals because it _likes_ treaties.

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un (176), treati (137), peac (107), 1 (59), intervent (59), dove (54), sign (50), hawk (50), war (46), interven (39), local (38), cost (37), con (36), ict (35), 0 (28), resourc (25), n (24), civil (22), p (22), exist (21), signal (21),
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Name: American Political Science Association
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Carter, Timothy. "UN Peacekeeping: Treaties, Signaling, and Peace" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 27, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64434_index.html>

APA Citation:

Carter, T. , 2003-08-27 "UN Peacekeeping: Treaties, Signaling, and Peace" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64434_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Civil wars, when they end, seldom end well. Complete victory, one side's destruction or capitulation, is common. Negotiated settlements, although possible, are less common, and absent outside intervention, these settlements usually fail. Moreover, outside intervention only arrives when peace is likely, because the United Nations, today's primary intervener, is (largely) incapable of forcing peaceful outcomes. Treaties, as the conventional wisdom goes, are important signals for peace, but that wisdom comes from the study of interstate wars where the costs and risks of implementing peace settlements are fewer. In civil wars treaties are relatively costly to negotiate and their implementation more risky--at least for Dovish locals. Hawkish locals, alternatively, can and do use treaties, just as they use cease-fires, as tactical ploys. Given that, how can the UN use treaties as peace signals? A possible answer, which I illustrate with a simple intervention model, is that the UN is able to use treaties as peace signals because it _likes_ treaties.

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Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 22
Word count: 7127
Text sample:
UN Peacekeeping: Treaties Signaling and Peace Timothy A. Carter∗ August 28 2003 Prepared for Delivery at the 2003 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 28-31 2003. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. Abstract Civil wars when they end seldom end well. Complete victory one side’s de- struction or capitulation is common. Negotiated settlements although possi- ble are less common and absent outside intervention these settlements usually fail. Moreover outside intervention only arrives when peace is
Processes.” International Security 22. 18 Synge Richard. 1997. Mozambique: UN Peacekeeping in Action 1992-94. United States Institute of Peace Press. Walter Barbara F. 1997a. “The Critical Barrier to Civil War Settlement.” Inter- national Organization 51(3):335–364. Walter Barbara F. 1997b. “Exiting From War: Cooperating Under Even the Most Difficult Circumstances.” Working Paper from the Institute of War and Peace Studies. Walter Barbara F. 2001. “Re-Conceptualizing Conflict Resolution as a Three-Stage Process.” Paper presented at the Workshop on Conceptualizing and Measuring


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