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Fighting to Win: Translating Military Gains into Political Victories

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Abstract:

In Filson and Werner (2002), we introduced a formal model of bargaining and war to explore conditions under which states that can negotiate settlements choose to initiate and terminate violence. In Filson and Werner (2003a, 2003b), we apply the model to obtain testable hypotheses about the impact of regime type on war onset, duration, and outcomes. However, analysis to date has focused on short wars that last at most one period. In this paper, we consider more complex environments using computational techniques. In doing so, we explore the conditions under which wars endure. The results clarify how the initial distributions of power and benefits, beliefs, and regime type affect when wars begin, how quickly they end, and what deals are made.

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d (109), war (98), battl (76), demand (63), type (61), resourc (50), 1 (46), benefit (42), accept (41), propos (36), conflict (34), 2 (32), attack (32), bd (30), fight (29), win (28), ba (28), 3 (28), continu (27), initi (27), one (26),

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Bargaining model of war Game Theory Termination of War
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Name: American Political Science Association
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MLA Citation:

Werner, Suzanne. "Fighting to Win: Translating Military Gains into Political Victories" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 27, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64478_index.html>

APA Citation:

Werner, S. , 2003-08-27 "Fighting to Win: Translating Military Gains into Political Victories" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64478_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: In Filson and Werner (2002), we introduced a formal model of bargaining and war to explore conditions under which states that can negotiate settlements choose to initiate and terminate violence. In Filson and Werner (2003a, 2003b), we apply the model to obtain testable hypotheses about the impact of regime type on war onset, duration, and outcomes. However, analysis to date has focused on short wars that last at most one period. In this paper, we consider more complex environments using computational techniques. In doing so, we explore the conditions under which wars endure. The results clarify how the initial distributions of power and benefits, beliefs, and regime type affect when wars begin, how quickly they end, and what deals are made.

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Associated Document Available American Political Science Association
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 24
Word count: 6796
Text sample:
The Dynamics of Bargaining and War Darren Filson Associate Professor Claremont Graduate University and Suzanne Werner Associate Professor Emory University 1 The Dynamics of Bargaining and War In Filson and Werner (2002) we introduced a formal model of bargaining and war to explore conditions under which states that can negotiate settlements choose to initiate and terminate violence. In Filson and Werner (2003a 2003b) we apply the model to obtain testable hypotheses about the impact of regime type on war
23 Werner Suzanne. 1996. “Absolute and Limited War: The Possibility of Foreign-Imposed Regime Change.” International Interactions 22(1):67-88. Werner Suzanne. 1998. “Negotiating the Terms of Settlement: War Aims and Bargaining Leverage.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 42(3):321-43. Werner Suzanne. 1999. “Choosing Demands Strategically: The Distribution of Power the Distribution of Benefits and the Risk of Conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 43(6):705- 26. Wittman Donald. 1979. “How a War Ends: A Rational Model Approach.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 23(6):743-63. 24


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