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Identities Unbound: Escalating Ethnic Conflict in the Post-Communist World
Unformatted Document Text:  Identities Unbound: Escalating Ethnic Conflict in the Post-Communist World Forthcoming in Steven Lobell and Philip Mauceri, eds., Ethnic Conflict and International Politics: Escalation, Diffusion, and Termination. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. Literature on the origins on ethnic conflict tends to focus on antecedents such as collective territorial, political and cultural objectives and the military balance of power. Here it is argued that the relative importance of such factors is likely to vary with regime types and the objectives that inform their most important constituencies. The approach is applied to diffusion and escalation of ethnic conflict in the former Soviet Union—in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, and Tajikistan. These case studies provide evidence that democratic regimes are likely to weight collective objectives more than balance of power constraints, whereas authoritarian regimes are likely to weight balance of power constraints over collective objectives. Shale Horowitz Department of Political Science University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee Milwaukee, WI 53211 Tel: 414-229-2399 Fax: 414-229-2399 ## email not listed ## Prepared for presentation at the 2003 annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, August 28-31, Philadelphia, PA.

Authors: Horowitz, Shale.
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Identities Unbound:
Escalating Ethnic Conflict in the Post-Communist World
Forthcoming in Steven Lobell and Philip Mauceri, eds., Ethnic Conflict and International
Politics: Escalation, Diffusion, and Termination. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Literature on the origins on ethnic conflict tends to focus on antecedents such as collective
territorial, political and cultural objectives and the military balance of power. Here it is argued
that the relative importance of such factors is likely to vary with regime types and the objectives
that inform their most important constituencies. The approach is applied to diffusion and
escalation of ethnic conflict in the former Soviet Union—in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Moldova, and
Tajikistan. These case studies provide evidence that democratic regimes are likely to weight
collective objectives more than balance of power constraints, whereas authoritarian regimes are
likely to weight balance of power constraints over collective objectives.
Shale Horowitz
Department of Political Science
University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Milwaukee, WI 53211
Tel: 414-229-2399
Fax: 414-229-2399
## email not listed ##
Prepared for presentation at the 2003 annual meeting of the American Political Science
Association, August 28-31, Philadelphia, PA.


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