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Baby Boom, Clerical Crash, and Quiet Crisis: The Changing Shape of the Federal Civil Service |
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Abstract:
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The aging of federal Baby Boomers and the disappearance of federal clerical employees have been re-shaping the civil service for the past quarter-century, presenting challenges to the quality and diversity of the federal work force. Using a a 1 percent- sample of federal personnel records for 1976-2001, I show that the age distribution of federal employees has shifted radically, raising experience levels and lowering turnover and promotion rates and that the civil service has cut its clerical workforce by two-thirds, decreasing the hiring of women but also raising the educational levels of new hires, especially women. I then place these changes in the context of continuing concerns about a “quiet crisis” of competence and morale in the federal service. Despite the possibilities that the aging of boomers could be hiding a rising propensity to quit federal service and that the increasing professionalization of federal jobs could be hiding decreasing qualifications within jobs, my analysis finds no evidence of decreasing morale or qualifications among federal employees. |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Lewis, Gregory. "Baby Boom, Clerical Crash, and Quiet Crisis: The Changing Shape of the Federal Civil Service" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 27, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64805_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Lewis, G. , 2003-08-27 "Baby Boom, Clerical Crash, and Quiet Crisis: The Changing Shape of the Federal Civil Service" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64805_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: The aging of federal Baby Boomers and the disappearance of federal clerical employees have been re-shaping the civil service for the past quarter-century, presenting challenges to the quality and diversity of the federal work force. Using a a 1 percent- sample of federal personnel records for 1976-2001, I show that the age distribution of federal employees has shifted radically, raising experience levels and lowering turnover and promotion rates and that the civil service has cut its clerical workforce by two-thirds, decreasing the hiring of women but also raising the educational levels of new hires, especially women. I then place these changes in the context of continuing concerns about a “quiet crisis” of competence and morale in the federal service. Despite the possibilities that the aging of boomers could be hiding a rising propensity to quit federal service and that the increasing professionalization of federal jobs could be hiding decreasing qualifications within jobs, my analysis finds no evidence of decreasing morale or qualifications among federal employees. |
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