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A Model of Split-ticket Voting with Uncertainty |
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Abstract:
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This paper models an on-year election in which the presidential
and legislative elections are held simultaneously. The president
is elected by plurality rule and each legislator is elected in
single member districts by simple plurality rule. Policy outcomes
are a function of not only which party holds the presidency but
which party gets the majority of seats in the legislature. Parties
are uncertain about the ideal points of the voters. With this
model, we show that first, there are some ticket-splitters in
every equilibrium, and second, there exists an equilibrium in
which moderate voters split their votes between presidential and
legislative elections. In addition, when we apply the equilibrium
strategy into two-period election, we find this model also
explains the midterm loss phenomena. |
Most Common Document Word Stems:
dd (188), dr (180), 1 (169), voter (152), 2 (138), rd (132), rr (132), vote (127), xi (114), elect (99), polici (79), parti (78), u (78), ui (65), d (65), z (57), ideal (57), model (53), equilibrium (53), 0 (53), legisl (52), |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Kang, Insun. "A Model of Split-ticket Voting with Uncertainty" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA, Aug 22, 2003 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64846_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Kang, I. , 2003-08-22 "A Model of Split-ticket Voting with Uncertainty" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia Marriott Hotel, Philadelphia, PA Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p64846_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: This paper models an on-year election in which the presidential
and legislative elections are held simultaneously. The president
is elected by plurality rule and each legislator is elected in
single member districts by simple plurality rule. Policy outcomes
are a function of not only which party holds the presidency but
which party gets the majority of seats in the legislature. Parties
are uncertain about the ideal points of the voters. With this
model, we show that first, there are some ticket-splitters in
every equilibrium, and second, there exists an equilibrium in
which moderate voters split their votes between presidential and
legislative elections. In addition, when we apply the equilibrium
strategy into two-period election, we find this model also
explains the midterm loss phenomena. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
23 |
| Word count: |
9271 |
| Text sample: |
| A Model of Split-ticket Voting with Uncertainty Insun Kang ∗ Department of Political Science University of Rochester August 2003 Abstract This paper models an on-year election in which the presidential and leg- islative elections are held simultaneously. The president is elected by plurality rule and each legislator is elected in single member districts by simple plurality rule. Policy outcomes are a function of not only which party holds the presi- dency but which party gets the majority of seats |
| House Elections 1946-1988. Boulder: Westview Press. [18] Lacy Dean and Philip Paolino. (1998) “Downsian Voting and the Separation of Powers.” American Journal of Political Science 42(4):1180-1199 [19] Mattei Franco and John S. Howes. (2000) “Competing Explanations of Split- Ticket Voting in American National Elections.” American Politics Qaurterly 28(3):379-407. [20] Niemi Richard G. and Herbert F. Weisberg. (2001) “Do Voters Prefer Divided Government?” In Controversies In Voting Behavior. eds. Richard G. Niemi and Herbert F. Weisberg. Washington D.C.: CQ Press. |
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Electoral Politics and Vote Cleavages in a New Democracy: Split Ticket Voting in Nicaragua's 2006 Presidential Election
Divisive Primaries, National Party Unity and the Presidential Vote: an Explanatory Model of General Election Outcomes 1948-2000
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