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FALSE HOPES? POSTSETTLEMENT DEMOCRACY AND |
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Abstract:
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After a civil war, is a democratic government more likely to prevent renewed mass violence than other forms of governments? The U.S. government and the international community assume so, but we do not have much empirical evidence on the topic. Amithab Dubey?s recent research shows a correlation between post-settlement democracy and subsequent peace. In an attempt to establish the processes and mechanisms involved, I focus on the intervening variables which might be expected to occur, in particular whether the governments use inclusive or repressive strategies. Twelve cases (of a proposed twenty) are examined in some depth. Renewed civil war since 1945 is unusual; only Sudan in the sample qualified. In general the form of government doesn?t predict strategies very well; some non-democracies are inclusive (Nigeria and while some democracies are not (Greece). However, inclusive strategies do seem better at preventing renewed civil war. If democracy prevents renewed civil war, it?s not clear how this happens. |
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war (178), civil (156), polit (116), new (93), govern (91), yes (91), state (71), 1 (68), democraci (64), parti (63), case (60), 3 (54), 2 (51), repress (49), elect (48), press (47), 1996 (43), studi (41), group (41), one (40), seem (39), |
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Keywords: civil war, democracy, powersharing, El Salvador, Sri Lanka, Greece, Nicaragua, Zimbabwe, Sudan, Nigeria, Iran, Chad, Lebanon, China, reconciliation |
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Association:
Name: American Political Science Association
URL: http://www.apsanet.org
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Citation:
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MLA Citation:
| Licklider, Roy. "FALSE HOPES? POSTSETTLEMENT DEMOCRACY AND" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2002 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65696_index.html> |
APA Citation:
| Licklider, R. , 2002-08-28 "FALSE HOPES? POSTSETTLEMENT DEMOCRACY AND" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p65696_index.html |
Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: After a civil war, is a democratic government more likely to prevent renewed mass violence than other forms of governments? The U.S. government and the international community assume so, but we do not have much empirical evidence on the topic. Amithab Dubey?s recent research shows a correlation between post-settlement democracy and subsequent peace. In an attempt to establish the processes and mechanisms involved, I focus on the intervening variables which might be expected to occur, in particular whether the governments use inclusive or repressive strategies. Twelve cases (of a proposed twenty) are examined in some depth. Renewed civil war since 1945 is unusual; only Sudan in the sample qualified. In general the form of government doesn?t predict strategies very well; some non-democracies are inclusive (Nigeria and while some democracies are not (Greece). However, inclusive strategies do seem better at preventing renewed civil war. If democracy prevents renewed civil war, it?s not clear how this happens. |
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| Document Type: |
.pdf |
| Page count: |
58 |
| Word count: |
14715 |
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| FALSE HOPES? POSTSETTLEMENT DEMOCRACY AND THE RESUMPTION OF CIVIL WAR Roy Licklider Political Science Department Rutgers University 89 George Street New Brunswick New Jersey 089011411 email: licklide@rci.rutgers.edu office telephone: 732 9329249 office fax:732 9327170 home telephone:212 8658301 home fax:212 3165681 Prepared for delivery at the 2002 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 29 September 1 2002. Copyright by the American Political Science Association. I acknowledge with gratitude the assistance of many people in the project |
| Salvador's Transition to Democracy. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press. Wilson A. Jeyaratnam. 1988. The Breakup of Sri Lanka: The Sinhalese Tamil Conflict. Honolulu: University of Hawaii Press. Winslow Charles. 1996. Lebanon: War and Politics in a Fragmented Society. London: Routledge. Wood Elisabeth Jean. 2001. Forging Democracy from Below: Insurgent Transitions in South Africa and El Salvador. New York: Cambridge University Press. Woodward Peter. 1990. Sudan 19891989: The Unstable State. Boulder CO: Lynne Rienner Publishers. Zuern Elke. 1999. Understanding |
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