Author's Keywords: Keywords: elections, presidential, primaries, Democratic Party, New Hampshire	Convention All Academic Convention makes running your annual conference simple and cost effective. It is your online solution for abstract management, peer review, and scheduling for your annual meeting or convention. Submission - Custom fields, multiple submission types, tracks, audio visual, multiple upload formats, automatic conversion to pdf. Review - Peer Review, Bulk reviewer assignment, bulk emails, ranking, z-score statistics, and multiple worksheets! Reports - Many standard and custom reports generated while you wait. Print programs with participant indexes, event grids, and more! Scheduling - Flexible and convenient grid scheduling within rooms and buildings. Conflict checking and advanced filtering. Communication - Bulk email tools to help your administrators send reminders and responses. Use form letters, a message center, and much more! Management - Search tools, duplicate people management, editing tools, submission transfers, many tools to manage a variety of conference management headaches! Click here for more information.
Association: Name: American Political Science Association URL: http://www.apsanet.org
Citation: URL: http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66179_index.html Direct Link: HTML Code:

Scala, Dante. "Re-reading the Tea Leaves: New Hampshire as a Barometer of Presidential Primary Success" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts, Aug 28, 2002 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66179_index.html>

Scala, D. J. , 2002-08-28 "Re-reading the Tea Leaves: New Hampshire as a Barometer of Presidential Primary Success" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston Marriott Copley Place, Sheraton Boston & Hynes Convention Center, Boston, Massachusetts Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p66179_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript Review Method: Peer Reviewed Abstract: This article, rather than focusing on media expectations as the key to momentum in presidential primary contests, instead concentrates on the ?fundamentals? of the New Hampshire Democratic primary vote in 1988, 1992, and 2000 as key predictors of success in subsequent presidential primaries. (This is something akin to picking stocks based on old-fashioned measures of value such as price-earnings ratios, as opposed to buying whichever stocks have the best buzz from various brokers on CNBC.) By focusing on how well candidates did with particular segments of the New Hampshire Democratic primary vote, such as the working-class and the liberal elite, we can see which candidates showed ?sound fundamentals? ? that is, evidence of a broad-based coalition composed of both the liberal elite and the working-class base ? and which candidates showed ?weak fundamentals,? or support from just one faction of the party, with little evidence of the ability to build a coalition among the Democratic Party electorate. During the last three Democratic party cycles, it has been the ?coalition candidate,? not the candidate of a particular faction of the party, that has proceeded to win the party?s nomination.

What Do You Mean I Can Only Vote for One Party? Elite Views, Media Coverage, and Public Discourse Surrounding Washington State Primary Reform

Who Votes On the Basis of the Candidate’s Personality? Vote Choice in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1992-2004