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A World of Beliefs: Modeling Interactions Among Agents with Different Operational Codes

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Abstract:

Recent scholarship on operational codes and foreign policy behavior suggests links between attribution-based belief patterns and approaches to strategic interaction. These results have implications for both the analysis of dyadic bargaining situations and the prospects for cooperation and conflict in a community of agents defined in part by their beliefs about the political universe and optimal strategies to cope in this environment. We explore the twelve possible two-player games suggested by the subjective games embedded within an expanded version of the Holsti belief system typology and identify myopic (Nash) and nonmyopic (TOM) equilibria. Then we model the interactions in this community among selected dyads with homogeneous or heterogeneous beliefs.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

0 (255), 2 (255), 1 (215), 3 (200), agent (97), game (97), strategi (67), outcom (64), 4 (50), subject (48), interact (46), belief (46), move (45), cooper (44), player (42), self (41), quadrant (40), predict (31), state (31), prefer (29), alter (29),

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Operational Code, Game Theory, Agent-based models
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Name: International Studies Association
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MLA Citation:

Marfleet, B. Gregory. and Walker, Stephen. "A World of Beliefs: Modeling Interactions Among Agents with Different Operational Codes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii, Mar 05, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69791_index.html>

APA Citation:

Marfleet, B. and Walker, S. G. , 2005-03-05 "A World of Beliefs: Modeling Interactions Among Agents with Different Operational Codes" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69791_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Recent scholarship on operational codes and foreign policy behavior suggests links between attribution-based belief patterns and approaches to strategic interaction. These results have implications for both the analysis of dyadic bargaining situations and the prospects for cooperation and conflict in a community of agents defined in part by their beliefs about the political universe and optimal strategies to cope in this environment. We explore the twelve possible two-player games suggested by the subjective games embedded within an expanded version of the Holsti belief system typology and identify myopic (Nash) and nonmyopic (TOM) equilibria. Then we model the interactions in this community among selected dyads with homogeneous or heterogeneous beliefs.

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Associated Document Available Political Research Online
Associated Document Available International Studies Association

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 31
Word count: 8390
Text sample:
A World of Beliefs: Modeling Interactions Among Agents with Different Operational Codes* B. Gregory Marfleet Stephen G. Walker Dept. of Political Science Dept. of Political Science Carleton College Arizona State University Carleton MN 55057 USA Tempe AZ 85287 USA Greg.Marfleet@carleton.edu stephen.walker@asu.edu DRAFT Do not quote or cite without permission Copyright 2005 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED *Presented at the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association Honolulu Hawaii March 1-6 2005. A World of Beliefs: Modeling Interactions Among Agents with Different
Political Science Association September 2-5. Walker S. M. Schafer and M.Young (1998) "Systematic Procedures for Operational Code Analysis: Measuring and Modeling Jimmy Carter's Operational Code." International Studies Quarterly 43: 173-188. Walker S. M. Schafer and B. Marfleet (2001) "The British Strategy of Appeasement: Why Did Britain Persist in the Face of Negative Feedback." Presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association August 29-September 1. Wendt A. (1992) "Anarchy Is What States Make of It" International Organization


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