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Echoes of Vietnam?: Body Counts and Public Perceptions of Success and Failure in the War in Iraq

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Abstract:

Learning from the American experience in Vietnam, high-ranking officers in the Pentagon concluded that body count reporting did not provide an accurate measure of success in a counterinsurgency campaign. Indeed, high variability in the accuracy of estimates regarding the total number of insurgents and the number killed in any specific operation limited the reliability and validity of conclusions based on this data. In the recent counterinsurgency campaign in Iraq military leaders initially resisted the release of body count and casualty-ratio data, but in April/May of 2004 the U.S. military (and American media) began to focus on the limited American casualties in specific operations versus the significant number of insurgents killed. This paper examines the extent to which body count frames influence public perceptions regarding the success or failure of U.S. military counterinsurgency operations. An experiment was conducted pitting alternative evaluative frames against one another in order to measure their relative impact. The results demonstrate the influence of framing effects on public perceptions.

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casualti (152), american (98), accept (86), condit (83), bush (73), iraq (67), death (65), vote (64), militari (58), p (52), total (50), public (50), 2004 (49), bodi (47), count (47), u.s (46), war (44), high (38), ratio (35), averag (34), n (34),
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Name: International Studies Association
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MLA Citation:

Boettcher III, William. and Cobb, Michael. "Echoes of Vietnam?: Body Counts and Public Perceptions of Success and Failure in the War in Iraq" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii, Mar 05, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69939_index.html>

APA Citation:

Boettcher III, W. A. and Cobb, M. D. , 2005-03-05 "Echoes of Vietnam?: Body Counts and Public Perceptions of Success and Failure in the War in Iraq" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p69939_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: Learning from the American experience in Vietnam, high-ranking officers in the Pentagon concluded that body count reporting did not provide an accurate measure of success in a counterinsurgency campaign. Indeed, high variability in the accuracy of estimates regarding the total number of insurgents and the number killed in any specific operation limited the reliability and validity of conclusions based on this data. In the recent counterinsurgency campaign in Iraq military leaders initially resisted the release of body count and casualty-ratio data, but in April/May of 2004 the U.S. military (and American media) began to focus on the limited American casualties in specific operations versus the significant number of insurgents killed. This paper examines the extent to which body count frames influence public perceptions regarding the success or failure of U.S. military counterinsurgency operations. An experiment was conducted pitting alternative evaluative frames against one another in order to measure their relative impact. The results demonstrate the influence of framing effects on public perceptions.

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Document Type: .PDF
Page count: 33
Word count: 7982
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Paper prepared for presentation at the 2005 Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association Honolulu Hawaii March 1-5. Draft Copy: Please do not cite without permission of authors. Echoes of Vietnam?: Body Counts and Public Perceptions of Success and Failure in the War in Iraq William A. Boettcher III Assistant Professor Department of Political Science and Public Administration North Carolina State University Campus Box 8102 Raleigh NC 27695-8102 919-515-5096 (o) 919-515-7333 (fax) william_boettcher@ncsu.edu Michael D. Cobb Assistant Professor Department
Wiley & Sons. Mueller J. E. (1994). Policy and opinion in the Gulf War. Chicago IL: The University of Chicago Press. Oppel R. A. Jr. Glanz J. Burns J. F. & Schmitt E. (2004 November 30). U.S. officials say Iraq's forces founder under rebel assaults. The New York Times Section A Column 3. Reiter D. & Stam A. C. (2002). Democracies at War. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press. Shanker T. (2004 May 14). At Iraqi prison Rumsfeld vows to


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