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A Canonical Theory of Origins and Development of Sociopolitical Complexity in World Historical Systems

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Abstract:

The puzzle of origins of government and social complexity in the dynamics of world politics has been an enduring topic that has challenged political scientists, anthropological archaeologists, and other social scientists and historians. This paper presents a new computational theory for the emergence of social complexity that accounts for the earliest formation of systems of government (pristine polities) in prehistory and early antiquity. The theory is based on a fast process of stressful crises and opportunistic decision-making through collective action. This core iterative process is canonicalin the sense of undergoing variations on a main recurring theme of problem-solving, adaptation and occasional failure. When a group is successful in managing or overcoming serious situational changes (endogenous or exogenous to the group, social or physical) a probabilistic phase transition may occur, under a well-specified set of conditions, yielding a long-term (slow) process of emergent political complexity and development. A reverse process may account for decay. Formally, the canonical theory is being implemented through the PoliGen agent-based model (ABM), based on the new Multi-Agent Simulator of Networks and Neighborhoods (MASON). MASON is a Java-based simulation environment (akin to Swarm or RePast) developed by George Mason University's Evolutionary Computation Lab in collaboration with the Center for Social Complexity (CSC). Empirically, the theory is testable with the datasets on polities developed by the Long-Range Analysis of War (LORANOW) Project. This paper focuses on the theoretical concepts, causal mechanisms, and basic formal structure underlying the simulation model.

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social (73), complex (67), polit (67), event (58), theori (54), collect (43), model (43), process (42), chang (41), situat (41), action (40), univers (37), figur (34), base (31), may (31), canon (30), emerg (29), develop (28), press (27), origin (27), govern (27),

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origins of government political development social complexity canonical theory
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Name: International Studies Association
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Cioffi-Revilla, Claudio. "A Canonical Theory of Origins and Development of Sociopolitical Complexity in World Historical Systems" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii, Mar 05, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-26 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p70664_index.html>

APA Citation:

Cioffi-Revilla, C. , 2005-03-05 "A Canonical Theory of Origins and Development of Sociopolitical Complexity in World Historical Systems" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the International Studies Association, Hilton Hawaiian Village, Honolulu, Hawaii Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-26 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p70664_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: The puzzle of origins of government and social complexity in the dynamics of world politics has been an enduring topic that has challenged political scientists, anthropological archaeologists, and other social scientists and historians. This paper presents a new computational theory for the emergence of social complexity that accounts for the earliest formation of systems of government (pristine polities) in prehistory and early antiquity. The theory is based on a fast process of stressful crises and opportunistic decision-making through collective action. This core iterative process is canonicalin the sense of undergoing variations on a main recurring theme of problem-solving, adaptation and occasional failure. When a group is successful in managing or overcoming serious situational changes (endogenous or exogenous to the group, social or physical) a probabilistic phase transition may occur, under a well-specified set of conditions, yielding a long-term (slow) process of emergent political complexity and development. A reverse process may account for decay. Formally, the canonical theory is being implemented through the PoliGen agent-based model (ABM), based on the new Multi-Agent Simulator of Networks and Neighborhoods (MASON). MASON is a Java-based simulation environment (akin to Swarm or RePast) developed by George Mason University's Evolutionary Computation Lab in collaboration with the Center for Social Complexity (CSC). Empirically, the theory is testable with the datasets on polities developed by the Long-Range Analysis of War (LORANOW) Project. This paper focuses on the theoretical concepts, causal mechanisms, and basic formal structure underlying the simulation model.

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Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 16
Word count: 7156
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ISA 2005 Hawaii A Canonical Theory Of Origins and Development of Social Complexity Claudio Cioffi-Revilla1 George Mason University Fairfax Virginia USA The puzzle of origins and future of government and social complexity in human and social dynamics--arguably a characteristic feature of the emergence and long-term evolution of hierarchy and power in the history of civilizations--is an enduring topic that has challenged political scientists anthropological archaeologists and other social scientists and historians. This paper proposes a new computational theory for
the Artificial 3rd ed. The MIT Press. Starr Chester G. 1991. A History of the Ancient World. Oxford University Press. Starr Harvey. 1978. Opportunity and willingness as ordering concepts in the study of war International Interactions 4:363-87. Von Neumann John. 1951. The general and logical theory of automata. In Cerebral Mechanisms in Behavior edited by A. L. Jeffress. New York: John Wiley. Weiss Harvey M.-A. Courty W. Wetterstrom F. Guichard & L. Senior. 1993. The genesis and collapse of


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