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APPENDIX
LIST OF VARIABLES USED IN PRELIMINARY ANALYSIS
Dependent
Description
Values
Variable
terrchal
territorial challenge
0/1
Primary
Independent
Variables
salience
territorial salience
1 to 10
newsal
salience*challenger leader popularity neg 1.56 to 2.9
Measures of
ci1_l1
contested institutions dummy lagged
0/1
Domestic
chpopula
challenger leader popularity
neg 0.2 to 0.3
Vulnerability
chnvstri
challenger nonviolent strife
0/1
chvstrif
challenger violent strife
0/1
chgeldem
challenger democracy gelpi scale
1 to 21
chregch1
challenger regime change (polity II)
0/1
secdil
security dilemma
0/1
dispar
power disparity relative to primary rival 0/1
chautoc_
challenger autocracy score
0/1
Control
Variables
jtdemrus
joint democracy russett definition
1 to 21, min of dyad
trgeldem
target democracy gelpi scale
1 to 21
trmajorl
dummy for target major power
0/1
coldw
cold war dummy
0/1
The Table above displays the variables we use in our preliminary analyses; the
list is not exhaustive of all the variables WE might employ to test our hypothesis. Even
so, the Reinhardt measures of domestic vulnerability and ICOW measures of territorial
salience prove useful for preliminary tests.