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Can Iraq Democratize? How long will it take?
Unformatted Document Text:  C:\Research\Democracy\Iraq&democracy_400.wpd 2/24/2005 ( 816a) Page 16 of 16 FH ratings Polity ratings Free 9 - 12 7 - 10 Coherent Democracy Partly Free 3 - 8 (-6) - 6 Incoherent Polities Not Free 0 - 3 (-7)-(-10) Coherent Autocracy Appendix 2: Comparing Polity and Freedom House Scales As can be seen from the Table bottom right, and from the country list, the Freedom House and Polity ratings differ only marginally. A * indicates a nationthat falls into a different category under the two systems. Only three nations differby more than 1 point; all of them by only 2 points. The conclusions of this paperdo not depend on idiosyncracies in the Polity data set. The data are for 2002.COHERENT DEMOCRACIES country FH Polity3 Canada 12 10 | Norway 12 10 | Denmark 12 10 | United States 12 10 | Sweden 12 10 | Slovenia 12 10 | Switzerland 12 10 | New Zealand 12 10 | Italy 12 10 | Netherlands 12 10 | Finland 12 10 | Cyprus 12 10 | Portugal 12 10 | Germany 12 10 | Austria 12 10 | Ireland 12 10 | Uruguay 12 10 | Belgium 12 10 | United Kingdom 12 10 | Spain 12 10 | Australia 12 10 | Japan 11 10 | Costa Rica 11 10 | France 12 9 | Hungary 11 10 | Lithuania 11 10 | Greece 11 10 | Mauritius 11 10 | Czech Republic 11 10 | Chile 11 9 | Mongolia 10 10 | Poland 11 9 | Slovakia 11 9 | Bulgaria 11 9 | South Africa 11 9 | Mexico 10 8 | Thailand 9 9 | Dominican Rep 10 8 | Romania 10 8 | India 9 9 | Korea South 10 8 | Peru 9 9 | Bolivia 9 9 | Lesotho 9 8 | Croatia 10 7 | Brazil 9 8 | Senegal 9 8 | Estonia 11 6 * Philippines 9 8 | Macedonia 8 9 * Guyana 10 6 * Yugoslavia 9 7 | El Salvador 9 7 | Argentina 8 8 | Nicaragua 8 8 | Honduras 8 7 | Albania 8 7 | Moldova 7 8 | Namibia 9 6 | Mali 9 6 | Benin 9 6 | Ghana 9 6 | INCOHERENT POLITIES country FH Polity3 Turkey 7 7 * Indonesia 7 7 * Kenya 6 8 * Paraguay 7 7 * Guatemala 6 8 * East Timor 8 6 | Ecuador 8 6 | Madagascar 7 7 * Sri Lanka 7 6 | Venezuela 7 6 | Mozambique 7 6 | Ukraine 6 7 * Colombia 6 7 * Bangladesh 6 6 | Fiji 7 5 | Russia 4 7 * Malawi 6 5 | Armenia 6 5 | Sierra Leone 6 5 | Georgia 6 5 | Niger 6 4 | Guinea-Bissau 5 5 | Cen African Rep 4 5 | Nigeria 5 4 | Tanzania 7 2 | Comoros 5 4 | Malaysia 4 3 | Djibouti 5 2 | Zambia 6 1 | Ivory Coast 2 4 * Burkina Faso 6 0 | Ethiopia 4 1 | Cambodia 3 2 | Iran 2 3 * Burundi 3 0 | Singapore 5 -2 | Guinea 3 -1 | Liberia 2 0 * Tajikistan 3 -1 | Nepal 6 -4 | Chad 3 -2 | Jordan 3 -2 | Togo 3 -2 | Gambia 6 -5 | Gabon 5 -4 | Yemen 3 -2 | Haiti 2 -2 * Kyrgyzstan 3 -3 | Uganda 4 -4 | Angola 3 -3 | Algeria 3 -3 | Congo Brazzaville 4 -4 | Tunisia 3 -4 | Rwanda 2 -4 * Cameroon 2 -4 * Morocco 4 -6 | Mauritania 4 -6 | Kuwait 5 -7 * Pakistan 3 -5 | Kazakhstan 3 -6 | Bahrain 4 -7 * COHERENT AUTOCRACIES country FH Polity3 Equatorial Guinea 1 -5 * Egypt 2 -6 * Azerbaijan 3 -7 | Belarus 2 -7 | Bhutan 3 -8 | UAE 3 -8 | Zimbabwe 2 -7 | Oman 3 -8 | Swaziland 3 -9 | Sudan 0 -6 * Eritrea 1 -7 | Vietnam 1 -7 | China 1 -7 | Laos 1 -7 | Libya 0 -7 | Myanmar (Burma) 0 -7 | Syria 0 -7 | Cuba 0 -7 | EXTREME AUTOCRACIES Uzbekistan 1 -9 | Qatar 2 -10 | Turkmenistan 0 -9 | Korea North 0 -9 | Iraq 0 -9 | Saudi Arabia 0 -10 | F re e d o m H o u se ra tin g s Polity ratings Demo cracy Not coherent Auto cracy Free 57 6 0 PartFree 16 44 7 NotFree 0 9 16

Authors: Moon, Bruce.
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C:\Research\Democracy\Iraq&democracy_400.wpd 2/24/2005 ( 816a)
Page 16 of 16
FH ratings
Polity ratings
Free
9 - 12
7 - 10
Coherent
Democracy
Partly
Free
3 - 8
(-6) - 6
Incoherent
Polities
Not
Free
0 - 3
(-7)-(-10)
Coherent
Autocracy
Appendix 2: Comparing Polity and Freedom House Scales
As can be seen from the Table bottom right, and from the country list, the
Freedom House and Polity ratings differ only marginally. A * indicates a nation
that falls into a different category under the two systems. Only three nations differ
by more than 1 point; all of them by only 2 points. The conclusions of this paper
do not depend on idiosyncracies in the Polity data set. The data are for 2002.
COHERENT DEMOCRACIES
country FH Polity3
Canada 12 10 |
Norway 12 10 |
Denmark 12 10 |
United States 12 10 |
Sweden 12 10 |
Slovenia 12 10 |
Switzerland 12 10 |
New Zealand 12 10 |
Italy 12 10 |
Netherlands 12 10 |
Finland 12 10 |
Cyprus 12 10 |
Portugal 12 10 |
Germany 12 10 |
Austria 12 10 |
Ireland 12 10 |
Uruguay 12 10 |
Belgium 12 10 |
United Kingdom 12 10 |
Spain 12 10 |
Australia 12 10 |
Japan 11 10 |
Costa Rica 11 10 |
France 12 9 |
Hungary 11 10 |
Lithuania 11 10 |
Greece 11 10 |
Mauritius 11 10 |
Czech Republic 11 10 |
Chile 11 9 |
Mongolia 10 10 |
Poland 11 9 |
Slovakia 11 9 |
Bulgaria 11 9 |
South Africa 11 9 |
Mexico 10 8 |
Thailand 9 9 |
Dominican Rep 10 8 |
Romania 10 8 |
India 9 9 |
Korea South 10 8 |
Peru 9 9 |
Bolivia 9 9 |
Lesotho 9 8 |
Croatia 10 7 |
Brazil 9 8 |
Senegal 9 8 |
Estonia 11 6 *
Philippines 9 8 |
Macedonia 8 9 *
Guyana 10 6 *
Yugoslavia 9 7 |
El Salvador 9 7 |
Argentina 8 8 |
Nicaragua 8 8 |
Honduras 8 7 |
Albania 8 7 |
Moldova 7 8 |
Namibia 9 6 |
Mali 9 6 |
Benin 9 6 |
Ghana 9 6 |
INCOHERENT POLITIES
country FH Polity3
Turkey 7 7 *
Indonesia 7 7 *
Kenya 6 8 *
Paraguay 7 7 *
Guatemala 6 8 *
East Timor 8 6 |
Ecuador 8 6 |
Madagascar 7 7 *
Sri Lanka 7 6 |
Venezuela 7 6 |
Mozambique 7 6 |
Ukraine 6 7 *
Colombia 6 7 *
Bangladesh 6 6 |
Fiji 7 5 |
Russia 4 7 *
Malawi 6 5 |
Armenia 6 5 |
Sierra Leone 6 5 |
Georgia 6 5 |
Niger 6 4 |
Guinea-Bissau 5 5 |
Cen African Rep 4 5 |
Nigeria 5 4 |
Tanzania 7 2 |
Comoros 5 4 |
Malaysia 4 3 |
Djibouti 5 2 |
Zambia 6 1 |
Ivory Coast 2 4 *
Burkina Faso 6 0 |
Ethiopia 4 1 |
Cambodia 3 2 |
Iran 2 3 *
Burundi 3 0 |
Singapore 5 -2 |
Guinea 3 -1 |
Liberia 2 0 *
Tajikistan 3 -1 |
Nepal 6 -4 |
Chad 3 -2 |
Jordan 3 -2 |
Togo 3 -2 |
Gambia 6 -5 |
Gabon 5 -4 |
Yemen 3 -2 |
Haiti 2 -2 *
Kyrgyzstan 3 -3 |
Uganda 4 -4 |
Angola 3 -3 |
Algeria 3 -3 |
Congo Brazzaville 4 -4 |
Tunisia 3 -4 |
Rwanda 2 -4 *
Cameroon 2 -4 *
Morocco 4 -6 |
Mauritania 4 -6 |
Kuwait 5 -7 *
Pakistan 3 -5 |
Kazakhstan 3 -6 |
Bahrain 4 -7 *
COHERENT AUTOCRACIES
country FH Polity3
Equatorial Guinea 1 -5 *
Egypt 2 -6 *
Azerbaijan 3 -7 |
Belarus 2 -7 |
Bhutan 3 -8 |
UAE 3 -8 |
Zimbabwe 2 -7 |
Oman 3 -8 |
Swaziland 3 -9 |
Sudan 0 -6 *
Eritrea 1 -7 |
Vietnam 1 -7 |
China 1 -7 |
Laos 1 -7 |
Libya 0 -7 |
Myanmar (Burma) 0 -7 |
Syria 0 -7 |
Cuba 0 -7 |
EXTREME AUTOCRACIES
Uzbekistan 1 -9 |
Qatar 2 -10 |
Turkmenistan 0 -9 |
Korea North 0 -9 |
Iraq 0 -9 |
Saudi Arabia 0 -10 |
F
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H
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Polity ratings
Demo
cracy
Not
coherent
Auto
cracy
Free
57
6
0
PartFree
16
44
7
NotFree
0
9
16


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