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Disentangling the Effects of Political Fragmentation on Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections

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Abstract:

We empirically disentangle the impact of two dimensions of fragmentation on voter turnout: the number of parties and their size. This is important to assess the size, significance and direction of both elements separately.

Most Common Document Word Stems:

parti (134), turnout (105), number (76), vote (74), elect (73), polit (70), effect (70), voter (69), municip (59), fragment (54), 1 (51), size (39), elector (34), signific (33), inequ (33), 2 (30), one (30), level (29), two (29), may (29), model (28),
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Name: The Midwest Political Science Association
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http://www.indiana.edu/~mpsa/


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MLA Citation:

Geys, Benny. "Disentangling the Effects of Political Fragmentation on Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois, Apr 07, 2005 <Not Available>. 2009-05-25 <http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p85391_index.html>

APA Citation:

Geys, B. , 2005-04-07 "Disentangling the Effects of Political Fragmentation on Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections" Paper presented at the annual meeting of the The Midwest Political Science Association, Palmer House Hilton, Chicago, Illinois Online <.PDF>. 2009-05-25 from http://www.allacademic.com/meta/p85391_index.html

Publication Type: Conference Paper/Unpublished Manuscript
Review Method: Peer Reviewed
Abstract: We empirically disentangle the impact of two dimensions of fragmentation on voter turnout: the number of parties and their size. This is important to assess the size, significance and direction of both elements separately.

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Associated Document Available The Midwest Political Science Association
Abstract Only All Academic Inc.
Associated Document Available Political Research Online

Document Type: .pdf
Page count: 20
Word count: 8643
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Disentangling the Effects of Political Fragmentation on Voter Turnout: the Flemish Municipal Elections Benny Geys * Bruno Heyndels Vrije Universiteit Brussel Department of Economics Pleinlaan 2 B-1050 Brussel Belgium e-mail: bgeys@vub.ac.be; Bruno.Heyndels@vub.ac.be. Abstract. Political fragmentation has been shown to be an important determinant of electoral turnout. We introduce an empirical approach that allows disentangling the impact of two dimensions of such fragmentation: the number of parties and the size inequalities between those parties. This is important as it allows
A simultaneous estimation technique and/or a panel analysis that takes into account variation of turnout over time is needed to discriminate between the different explanations. Unfortunately data on prosecution of non- voting are not available for longer time periods. 14 In interpreting the parameter estimates of these three variables one should be aware of the so-called "ecological fallacy". This refers to the bias that may occur because an association observed between variables at an aggregate level does not necessarily


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