46
Table 7
Multinomial Logit Estimates for 2000 Election
(Livingstone Coefficients Normalized to Zero)
Independent Variables
Dobson
Norris
Kramer
Age 25-34
-1.28**
-0.85
0.23
(0.49)
(0.61)
(0.62)
Age 35-44
-1.77**
-0.93
0.35
(0.54)
(0.65)
(0.64)
Age 45-54
-2.92**
-1.75**
-0.36
(0.60)
(0.67)
(0.71)
Age 55-64
-2.24**
-0.68
0.99
(0.66)
(0.67)
(0.72)
Age 65 and Older
-2.53**
-1.14
0.87
(0.64)
(0.68)
(0.68
Male
-0.53
-0.12
-0.61
(0.30)
(0.32)
(0.32)
Intend to vote Labour on Party List Ballot
2.19**
-0.65
-0.71
(0.70)
(0.65)
(0.55)
Intend to vote Conservative on Party List Ballot
1.14
2.69**
0.18
(0.80)
(0.58)
(0.58)
Intend to vote Liberal on Party List Ballot
-1.72
-0.88
1.58**
(1.43)
(0.84)
(0.51)
Employed as Middle Management/Civil Servant
-1.24**
-0.66
0.51
(0.41)
(0.46)
(0.49)
Employed as Skilled Laborer
-1.13**
-0.63
0.24
(0.46)
(0.52)
(0.58)
Employed in Managerial/Executive
-1.29**
-0.54
0.98
(0.45)
(0.48)
(0.52)
Oppose Public-Private Partnership of Underground
0.43
0.18
-0.28
(0.30)
(0.32)
(0.33)
Less likely to support Dobson because of Tony Blair
-2.02**
-0.41
-0.84*
(0.74)
(0.39)
(0.41)
Support £5 fee for driving in Central London
-1.14**
-0.78*
-0.71*
(0.31)
(0.32)
(0.33)
Support Legalization of Gay Marriages
-0.59
-0.63
-0.14
(0.33)
(0.37)
(0.35)
Constant
0.96
0.06
-1.55
(0.83)
(0.83)
(0.89)
Final Log Likelihood
-425.11564
X2 (48)
370.14
Number of Iterations
6
Psuedo R
2
0.3033
Number of Cases
560
Note: Maximum-likelihood estimates with their standard errors in parenthesis below. *indicates an estimate
significant at the p=.05 level. **indicates an estimate significant at the p=.01 level.
Convention